Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, One Africa, Showmax, StarTimes App, SuperSport Blitz ROA, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Variety 2
Albania	16:00	SuperSport 5
Argentina	12:00	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	02:00	Optus Sport
Austria	16:00	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
Botswana	17:00	YTV
Brazil	12:00	Disney+
Cambodia	22:00	True Sport 2
Cameroon	16:00	CRTV Sports
Canada	10:00	fubo Sports Network 5 DRM
China	23:00	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Cote D Ivoire	15:00	NCI
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Action, CANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	16:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Eswatini	—	Eswatini TV
Finland	17:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 8
Germany	16:00	Sky Sport Mix
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports 4
Guinea	15:00	CIS
Hong Kong	23:00	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 4
Iceland	15:00	Siminn Sport 4
India	20:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	22:00	Vidio
Israel	17:00	Sport 3
Italy	16:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 257
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	21:00	Setanta Sports
Kenya	18:00	K24
Laos	22:00	True Sport 2
Malaysia	23:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Sooka
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mauritius	19:00	MBC 11
Mexico	09:00	HBO Max, MAX
Montenegro	16:00	Arena Sport 3
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	04:00	Sky Sport 7
Nigeria	16:00	Sporty TV
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	16:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Peru	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	16:00	Viaplay
Portugal	15:00	DAZN 4
Romania	17:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Seyshelles	19:00	SBC TV
Singapore	23:00	Hub Premier 3, StarHub TV+
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	17:00	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South America	—	ESPN South
South Korea	00:00	SPOTV Prime+
Spain	16:00	DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Tajikistan	20:00	Futbol TV
Tanzania	18:00	UTV
Thailand	22:00	True Sport 2
Turkey	18:00	beIN Connect
Uganda	18:00	NBS Sport 1
Ukraine	17:00	Setanta Sports+
Usa	10:00	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	22:00	ON Plus, ON Sport
International	15:00	Disney+, JioTV app
Zambia	17:00	ZNBC 1


	Brentford		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.33	5
	1.66	4.1	5
	1.65	4.25	5.4	Watch
	1.65	4.34	5.39
	1.64	4.26	5.44	Watch
	1.65	4.2	5
	1.64	4.41	5.24	Watch
	1.65	4.25	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.7)	4.27 ↓ (4.29)	5.23 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentford
58.9%

Draw
22.7%

Leicester City
18.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.7%

22.4%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

21.6%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62%	12%	26%

Brentford - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 31 - 62%). Leicester will win (votes: 13 - 26%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 48.5% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flekken M. (G) 4. van den Berg S. 22. Collins N. 5. Pinnock E. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 8. Jensen M. 6. Norgaard C. (C) 19. Mbeumo B. 24. Damsgaard M. 11. Wissa Y. 7. Schade K.	30. Hermansen M. (G) 3. Faes W. 4. Coady C. 5. Okoli C. 2. Justin J. 24. Soumare B. 6. Ndidi W. 33. Thomas L. 40. Buonanotte F. 18. Ayew J. 9. Vardy J. (C)
Substitutes
14. Carvalho F. 27. Janelt V. 26. Konak Y. E. 32. Maghoma P. 16. Mee B. 30. Roerslev Rasmussen M. 9. Thiago I. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 18. Yarmolyuk Y.	17. Choudhury H. 20. Daka P. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 11. El Khannouss B. 16. Kristiansen V. 10. Mavididi S. 22. Skipp O. 23. Vestergaard J. 1. Ward D. (G)
Coaches
Frank T.	Dawson B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Buonanotte F. ⚽, Vardy J. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Wissa Y. ⚽, Schade K. (A),
29', 2 - 1, Schade K. ⚽,
35', Okoli C. ↓, Vestergaard J. ↑,
42', Jensen M. ↓, Janelt V. ↑,
45+8', 3 - 1, Schade K. ⚽, Damsgaard M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 4 - 1, Schade K. ⚽, Collins N. (A),
63', Lewis-Potter K. 🟨,
64', Soumare B. ↓, Skipp O. ↑,
64', Vardy J. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
64', Buonanotte F. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
70', Norgaard C. ↓, Yarmolyuk Y. ↑,
70', Damsgaard M. ↓, Carvalho F. ↑,
70', Schade K. ↓, Thiago I. ↑,
80', Ayew J. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
82', Justin J. 🟨,
83', van den Berg S. ↓, Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brentford won 0.

Brentford is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leicester has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Brentford is a favorite.

There will not play in Brentford: Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Henry R. (Knee Injury) Hickey A. (Thigh Injury) Norgaard C. (Red Card)

There will not play in Leicester: Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Pereira R. (Thigh Injury) Stolarczyk J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Brentford: Gustavo Nunes (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Winks H. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Brentford won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:11 (average 1:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Brentford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English Premier League
23.11.24	Everton - Brentford	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Brentford - Bournemouth	3:2 ✺
04.11.24	Fulham - Brentford	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.24	Brentford - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
26.10.24	Brentford - Ipswich Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLWW
- Leicester City
English Premier League
23.11.24	Leicester City - Chelsea	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Manchester United - Leicester City	3:0 ✺
02.11.24	Ipswich Town - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
30.10.24	Manchester United - Leicester City	5:2 ✺
English Premier League
25.10.24	Leicester City - Nottingham Forest	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
18.03.23	Brentford - Leicester City	1:1
07.08.22	Leicester City - Brentford	2:2
20.03.22	Leicester City - Brentford	2:1
24.10.21	Brentford - Leicester City	1:2
English FA Cup
24.01.21	Brentford - Leicester City	1:3
25.01.20	Brentford - Leicester City	0:1

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