Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	ESPN, TNT
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria
Belgium	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
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Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	CTN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	Canal+ Live 5, CANAL+ Premier League, C+ France, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn Sport 1, Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
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Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
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Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, ON Plus, TV 360, VieON
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Leicester City		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	7	4.75	1.44
	6.5	4.8	1.46
	7.2	5.1	1.44	Watch
	7.17	5.01	1.44
	7.52	4.97	1.44	Watch
	7	4.6	1.44
	6.72	4.99	1.48	Watch
	7.2	5.1	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.04 ↑ (5.06)	4.92 ↑ (4.36)	1.45 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
13.7%

Draw
19.6%

Chelsea
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

22%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

20.9%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leicester City's form might have worsened.

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelsea's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.8%	16.4%	73.8%

Leicester City - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 6 - 10.5%). Chelsea will win (votes: 44 - 77.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 12.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 66.3% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hermansen M. (G) 2. Justin J. 3. Faes W. 5. Okoli C. 16. Kristiansen V. 24. Soumare B. 8. Winks H. 6. Ndidi W. 35. McAteer K. 9. Vardy J. (C) 11. El Khannouss B.	1. Sanchez R. (G) 29. Fofana W. 5. Badiashile B. 6. Colwill L. 3. Cucurella M. 25. Caicedo M. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 11. Madueke N. 20. Palmer C. 14. Joao Felix 15. Jackson N.
Substitutes
18. Ayew J. 17. Choudhury H. 4. Coady C. 20. Daka P. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 10. Mavididi S. 22. Skipp O. 33. Thomas L. 1. Ward D. (G)	4. Adarabioyo T. 13. Bettinelli M. (G) 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 12. Jorgensen F. (G) 45. Lavia R. 10. Mudryk M. 18. Nkunku C. 19. Sancho J. 40. Veiga R.
Coaches
Cooper S.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Winks H. ↓, Skipp O. ↑,
15', 0 - 1, Jackson N. ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
22', Ndidi W. 🟨,
29', Soumare B. 🟨,
31', Skipp O. 🟨,
40', Caicedo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', Sanchez R. 🟨,
68', Cooper S. 🟨,
71', Ndidi W. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
71', McAteer K. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Fernandez E. ⚽,
78', Faes W. 🟨,
79', Vardy J. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
79', El Khannouss B. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
81', Joao Felix ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
81', Caicedo M. ↓, Lavia R. ↑,
85', Madueke N. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
90+1', Jackson N. ↓, Dewsbury-Hall K. ↑,
90+4', Lavia R. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 2, Ayew J. (Pen),

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 0.

Leicester is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chelsea is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Leicester have a series of guest games.

In this match Chelsea is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Leicester: Buonanotte F. (Yellow Cards) Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Pereira R. (Thigh Injury) Stolarczyk J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: James R. (Thigh Injury) Kellyman O. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Ayew J. (Knee Injury) De Cordova-Reid B. (Calf Injury) Vardy J. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Fofana W. (Knee Injury) Lavia R. (Muscle Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Leicester won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 18:34 (average 0.9:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9:20 (average 0.9:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
10.11.24	Manchester United - Leicester City	3:0 ✺
02.11.24	Ipswich Town - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
30.10.24	Manchester United - Leicester City	5:2 ✺
English Premier League
25.10.24	Leicester City - Nottingham Forest	1:3 ✺
19.10.24	Southampton - Leicester City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLW
- Chelsea
English Premier League
10.11.24	Chelsea - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Chelsea - Noah Yerevan	8:0 ✺
English Premier League
03.11.24	Manchester United - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
30.10.24	Newcastle United - Chelsea	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
27.10.24	Chelsea - Newcastle United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
17.03.24	Chelsea - Leicester City	4:2
English Premier League
11.03.23	Leicester City - Chelsea	1:3
27.08.22	Chelsea - Leicester City	2:1
19.05.22	Chelsea - Leicester City	1:1
20.11.21	Leicester City - Chelsea	0:3
18.05.21	Chelsea - Leicester City	2:1
English FA Cup
15.05.21	Chelsea - Leicester City	0:1

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