Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Referee: Narciso A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Leixões		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.6
	1.93	3.25	3.3
	1.92	3.45	3.7
	1.97	3.67	3.89
	1.94	3.71	3.5	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.5
	1.95	3.56	3.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.95)	3.45 ↓ (3.56)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
47.7%

Draw
26.7%

Portimonense
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

26%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.4%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Leixões - Portimonense Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Portimonense will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Stefanovic I. (C) 77. Paulinho 3. Figueiredo L. 14. Matheus Costa 30. Serif N. 11. Agra S. 20. Miguel Sousa 27. Barbosa R. 66. Balde A. 9. Bica 35. Rochez B.	26. Maycon Cleiton (G) 31. Edney 73. Junior M. 32. Jarleysom 16. Thauan Lara 8. Lobato S. 37. Mateus Sarara 18. Mamede 87. Pancadas Casimiro J. D. 17. Joao Reis (C) 21. Dauda M.
Substitutes
22. Araujo C. 63. Faria H. 2. Fonseca F. 33. Luccas Paraizo 1. Morro M. (G) 10. Paulite 44. Semeu 15. Simaozinho 7. Werton	90. Canario F. 77. Cibois S. (G) 22. De Bolle L. 19. Dju M. 40. Joao Vitor 50. Kait K. 6. Neves S. 93. Welinton Junior 65. Wellington Santana (G)
Coaches
Fangueiro C.	Fernandes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Mateus Sarara 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Pancadas Casimiro J. D. ↓, Welinton Junior ↑,
62', Miguel Sousa ↓, Araujo C. ↑,
67', Barbosa R. 🟨,
71', Rochez B. ↓, Semeu ↑,
71', Agra S. ↓, Werton ↑,
72', Barbosa R. ↓, Luccas Paraizo ↑,
77', Mamede 🟨,
79', Thauan Lara ↓, Canario F. ↑,
79', Dauda M. ↓, Dju M. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Luccas Paraizo ⚽,
83', Paulinho ↓, Fonseca F. ↑,
84', Junior M. ↓, Neves S. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 0, Bica ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 3.

Leixões is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Portimonense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leixões is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4:6	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
20.04.26	Porto B - Leixões	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Leixões - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Torreense - Leixões	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Leixões - Paços de Ferreira	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Académico de Viseu - Leixões	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTWL
- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
19.04.26	Portimonense - Lusitânia	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Marítimo - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Oliveirense - Portimonense	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Portimonense - Porto B	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Torreense - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
14.12.25	Portimonense - Leixões	1:2
02.03.25	Portimonense - Leixões	2:1
05.10.24	Leixões - Portimonense	3:0
Portuguese League Cup
30.07.23	Leixões - Portimonense	1:0 penalties
Portuguese Liga 2
29.04.17	Portimonense - Leixões	3:3
11.12.16	Leixões - Portimonense	0:0
02.04.16	Leixões - Portimonense	0:1

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