Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	14:00	Disney+
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Austria	19:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	14:00	Caze TV
Canada	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	13:00	Disney+
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	Disney+
Croatia	19:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	20:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	19:00	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	19:00	Viaplay
Finland	20:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	19:00	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	19:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Sports 3
Israel	20:00	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	19:00	Ligue 1+
Kenya	20:00	Gotv
Mexico	11:00	FOX One, FOX Sports
Netherlands	19:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	19:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Portugal	18:00	Sport TV4
Romania	20:00	Voyo
Russia	20:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	19:00	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	19:00	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport Variety 4
South Korea	02:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	19:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	19:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	20:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	18:00	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+
Vietnam	00:00	ON Plus, TV 360
International	17:00	Onefootball


	Auxerre		Nantes

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.35	4.15	Watch
	1.96	3.39	4.58
	1.91	3.37	4.31	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4
	1.94	3.47	4.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.09)	3.36 ↑ (3.26)	4.28 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
49.5%

Draw
28.3%

Nantes
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

29%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

25.4%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auxerre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nantes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Auxerre - Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Nantes will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Nantes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Auxerre (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nantes (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 29. Senaya M. 20. Diomande S. 24. Okoh B. 14. Mensah G. 5. Danois K. 42. Owusu E. (C) 28. Faivre R. 19. Namaso D. 22. Oppegard F. 10. Sinayoko L.	1. Lopes A. (C) 24. Guilbert F. 2. Ali Youssef 3. Cozza N. 27. Machado D. 13. Coquelin F. 17. Tabibou D. 21. Kaba M. 8. Lepenant J. 10. Abline M. 37. Ganago I.
Substitutes
8. Ahamada N. 92. Akpa C. 44. Cissokho M. 21. Coulibaly L. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 9. Mara S. 4. Sierralta F. 27. Sy L.	6. Awaziem C. 20. Cabella R. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 18. Centonze F. 19. El Arabi Y. 66. Leroux L. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 26. Radakovic U. 28. Sissoko I.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Halilhodzic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Ganago I. 🟨,
16', Lepenant J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Namaso D. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
73', Coquelin F. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
74', Tabibou D. ↓, Centonze F. ↑,
77', Faivre R. ↓, Ahamada N. ↑,
77', Oppegard F. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
81', Abline M. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
82', Guilbert F. ↓, Cabella R. ↑,
86', Sissoko I. 🟨,
89', Centonze F. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.

Auxerre has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nantes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Auxerre is the team to beat.

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Nantes: Tati T. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Auxerre: Coulibaly L. (Injury) Mensah G. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Auxerre	8	3	1	4	12:18	-6	10

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Auxerre: 0.17%

Last Results with these Odds

Nantes - the odds 3.66 are the expected chance of winning is 25.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
05.04.26	Le Havre - Auxerre	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Auxerre - Brest	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Olympique Marseille - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Auxerre - Strasbourg	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Lorient - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWLTT
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
05.04.26	Metz - Nantes	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Nantes - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Nantes - Angers	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Lille - Nantes	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Nantes - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
30.08.25	Nantes - Auxerre	1:0
10.05.25	Auxerre - Nantes	1:1
25.08.24	Nantes - Auxerre	2:0
16.04.23	Auxerre - Nantes	2:1
01.01.23	Nantes - Auxerre	1:0
Coupe De France
23.01.18	Nantes - Auxerre	3:4
French Coupe de la Ligue
17.12.13	Nantes - Auxerre	1:0

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