Match Info

MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)

Referee: Sanchez M. E. L. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes, ViX Gratis, VIX+
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Leones Negros UdeG		Celaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.15	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.23	3.26	3.47
	2.22	3.17	3.33
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.12	3.34	3.21	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.19)	3.27 ↓ (3.32)	3.21 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones Negros UdeG
42.9%

Draw
28.3%

Celaya
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

28.2%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.1%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Leones Negros UdeG - Celaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Celaya will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lopez F. (G) 8. Fierro C. 20. Flores B. 10. Henestrosa J. 4. Ledesma A. (C) 26. Marchand J. 13. Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 6. Organista A. 2. Sanchez J. 9. Torres E. 5. Torres U.	29. Espinoza G. (G) 22. Baltazar C. 31. Barragan M. 2. Cervantes D. 8. de los Santos L. 10. Dominguez A. 28. Gamboa J. 14. Manriquez S. 3. Monreal E. 20. Tovar J. 23. Vazquez J. (C)
Substitutes
24. Aguayo J. 25. Cantu Rodriguez O. M. (G) 15. Carreon A. 28. De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 89. Garcia D. 88. Munoz D. 11. Perez J. 99. Rabago F. 7. Rivera E. 14. Villalobos A.	25. Blanco D. 6. Del Angel E. 30. Hernandez J. 7. Martinez J. 1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 4. Munoz J. 11. Tejeda D. 9. Wlk Dure A. S.
Coaches
Sosa L.	Blanco Soto S. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Barragan M. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ⚽,
45+3', Lopez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Henestrosa J. 🟨,
52', de los Santos L. 🟨,
58', Fierro C. ↓, Rivera E. ↑,
58', Flores B. ↓, De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↑,
67', Torres U. 🟨,
69', de los Santos L. ↓, Del Angel E. ↑,
69', Monreal E. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
76', Dominguez A. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
76', Cervantes D. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
77', Organista A. ↓, Villalobos A. ↑,
82', Henestrosa J. ↓, Carreon A. ↑,
82', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
82', Baltazar C. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Leones Negros UdeG is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leones Negros UdeG won 0.

Recent matches Leones Negros UdeG is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Celaya is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leones Negros UdeG will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Leones Negros UdeG won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 16:23 (average 0.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Leones Negros UdeG won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
19.10.24	Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG	3:2 ✺
13.10.24	Leones Negros UdeG - Atlético La Paz	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Atlético Morelia - Leones Negros UdeG	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Leones Negros UdeG	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	Leones Negros UdeG - Atlante	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWTT
- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
19.10.24	Celaya - Tlaxcala	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Celaya	1:5 ✺
05.10.24	Celaya - Cancún	3:1 ✺
02.10.24	Atlético Morelia - Celaya	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Celaya - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
14.03.24	Leones Negros UdeG - Celaya	0:0
02.11.23	Celaya - Leones Negros UdeG	0:0
05.05.23	Celaya - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0
02.05.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Celaya	0:3
25.01.23	Celaya - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0
04.10.22	Leones Negros UdeG - Celaya	0:2
09.02.22	Celaya - Leones Negros UdeG	0:0

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