Match Info

MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés (Celaya)

Referee: Delgadillo Franco O. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	ESPN 4
World	Disney+


	Celaya		Tlaxcala

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.38	4.75	7	Watch
	1.38	5.01	7.88
	1.42	4.68	6.8	Watch
	1.29	4.8	8.5
	1.37	4.7	7.19	Watch
	1.38	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.38)	4.72 ↑ (4.51)	7.2 ↓ (7.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Celaya
67.5%

Draw
19.7%

Tlaxcala
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

20.6%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

19.5%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Celaya - Tlaxcala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Espinoza G. (G) 22. Baltazar C. 31. Barragan M. 2. Cervantes D. 8. de los Santos L. 10. Dominguez A. 28. Gamboa J. 14. Manriquez S. 3. Monreal E. 20. Tovar J. 23. Vazquez J. (C)	33. Rodriguez R. (G) 8. Aguilar D. (C) 18. Alonso L. 27. Gama D. 4. Gonzalez C. 12. Lozano M. 19. Millan O. 3. Santillan F. 28. Santos P. 5. Zago D. 7. Zamudio J.
Substitutes
25. Blanco D. 6. Del Angel E. 30. Hernandez J. 136. Luna E. G. 7. Martinez J. 17. Montejano E. 1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 4. Munoz J. 11. Tejeda D. 9. Wlk Dure A. S.	10. Amador D. 6. Carrillo L. 14. Celaya J. 24. Dickey Pina J. M. (G) 11. Esquivel K. 20. Hernandez J. 26. Lajud R. 29. Morales B. 21. Palma M. 22. Zetuna Y.
Coaches
Blanco Soto S. R.	Ramirez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Barragan M. (Pen),
22', Zamudio J. 🟨,
30', Gama D. 🟨,
45', Barragan M. 🟨,
45+3', Cervantes D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zago D. ↓, Carrillo L. ↑,
60', Zamudio J. ↓, Amador D. ↑,
64', Baltazar C. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
79', Aguilar D. ↓, Celaya J. ↑,
79', Gonzalez C. ↓, Zetuna Y. ↑,
79', Millan O. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
79', Manriquez S. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
86', Zetuna Y. 🟨,
90', Dominguez A. ↓, Del Angel E. ↑,
90', Tovar J. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
90', Barragan M. ↓, Wlk Dure A. S. ↑,
90+3', Vazquez J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Celaya won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Celaya is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Celaya won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:4 (average 1.3:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.10.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Celaya	1:5 ✺
05.10.24	Celaya - Cancún	3:1 ✺
02.10.24	Atlético Morelia - Celaya	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Celaya - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
25.09.24	Celaya - Atlante	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLTL
- Tlaxcala FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
12.10.24	Dorados - Tlaxcala	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Cancún - Tlaxcala	5:2 ✺
21.09.24	Tlaxcala - Tapatío	2:3 ✺
14.09.24	Jaiba Brava - Tlaxcala	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
29.03.24	Celaya - Tlaxcala	1:1
30.08.23	Tlaxcala - Celaya	1:2
03.03.23	Celaya - Tlaxcala	1:1
17.08.22	Tlaxcala - Celaya	0:1
15.02.22	Tlaxcala - Celaya	0:1
17.08.21	Celaya - Tlaxcala	3:0
05.03.21	Celaya - Tlaxcala	0:0

Upcoming Matches