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Real Sociedad - Girona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 16
  • Date: 12 December 2025, Friday
  • Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)
  • Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Real Sociedad Girona
    Real Sociedad Girona
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.78 ↑
    (1.71)    		 3.73 ↓
    (3.92)    		 4.65 ↓
    (4.71)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Real Sociedad
    53.8%    		Draw
    25.6%    		Girona
    20.6%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    55.6% 24.2% 20.2%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    57.7% 23.3% 19.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    81.7% 12.2% 6.1%

    Real Sociedad - Girona Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Girona (4.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (65 of 80 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.7% – 89.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Sociedad will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 25 - 86.2%). Girona (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SpainRemiro A. (G)
      2. VenezuelaAramburu J.
      5. SpainZubeldia I. (C)
    31. SpainMartin J.
    17. SpainGomez S.
      4. SpainGorrotxategi J.
    14. JapanKubo T.
    23. SpainMendez B.
    18. SpainSoler C.
      7. SpainBarrenetxea A.
    11. PortugalGuedes G.
    		13. ArgentinaGazzaniga P. (G)
      4. SpainMartinez A. (C)
    12. BrazilVitor Reis
    17. NetherlandsBlind D.
    24. SpainMoreno A.
    20. BelgiumWitsel A.
    23. SpainMartin I.
    15. UkraineTsygankov V.
    18. MoroccoOunahi A.
    21. SpainGil B.
    19. UkraineVanat V.
    Substitutes
    16. CroatiaCaleta-Car D.
      6. SpainElustondo A.
    22. SpainGoti Lopez M.
    19. SpainKarrikaburu J.
    28. SpainMarin P.
    13. SpainMarrero U. (G)
      3. SpainMunoz A.
    20. SpainOdriozola A.
    15. NigeriaSadiq U.
    24. CroatiaSucic L.
      8. SpainTurrientes B.
    21. RussiaZakharyan A.
    		43. BulgariaAndreev A. (G)
    32. VenezuelaArango J.
    10. ColombiaAsprilla Y.
    44. SenegalBa P.
    16. SpainFrances A.
    28. SpainJordana G.
    29. GuineaKourouma L.
    11. FranceLemar T.
      1. CroatiaLivakovic D. (G)
      2. SpainRincon H.
      3. SpainRoca J.
    22. ColombiaSolis Romero J. E.
    Coaches
         SpainFrancisco S.
    		     SpainMichel

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 35', 1 - 0, Guedes G. ⚽, Zubeldia I. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
    • 46', Vanat V. ↓, Roca J. ↑,
    • 46', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Karrikaburu J. ↑,
    • 60', Gil B. 🟨,
    • 64', Guedes G. ↓, Zakharyan A. ↑,
    • 65', Soler C. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
    • 65', Martin I. ↓, Lemar T. ↑,
    • 74', Aramburu J. 🟨,
    • 76', 1 - 1, Tsygankov V. ⚽, Ounahi A. (A),
    • 77', Mendez B. ↓, Turrientes B. ↑,
    • 77', Gil B. ↓, Asprilla Y. ↑,
    • 79', Ounahi A. 🟨,
    • 84', 1 - 2, Tsygankov V. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
    • 85', Gomez S. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
    • 90', Tsygankov V. ↓, Solis Romero J. E. ↑,

    Preview

  • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 2.
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • Recently, Real Sociedad has had a series of away games.
  • In this match, Real Sociedad is seen as the favorite.
  • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Beitia L. (Groin Injury) Herrera Y. (Calf Injury) Oskarsson O. (Hamstring Injury) Oyarzabal M. (Muscle Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Krapyvtsov V. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lopez D. (Hamstring Injury) Portu (Knee Injury) Ruiz A. (Muscle Injury) Stuani C. (Calf Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Real Sociedad
    Spanish LaLiga
    06.12.25 Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad 1:0 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    03.12.25 Reus FC Reddis - Real Sociedad 0:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    30.11.25 Real Sociedad - Villarreal 2:3 ✺
    22.11.25 Osasuna - Real Sociedad 1:3 ✺
    07.11.25 Elche - Real Sociedad 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8
    LWLWT
    - Girona FC
    Spanish LaLiga
    07.12.25 Elche - Girona 3:0 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    03.12.25 Ourense CF - Girona 2:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    30.11.25 Girona - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺
    23.11.25 Betis - Girona 1:1 ✺
    08.11.25 Girona - Deportivo Alavés 1:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16
    LLTTW
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    18.05.25 Real Sociedad - Girona 3:2
    19.10.24 Girona - Real Sociedad 0:1
    03.02.24 Girona - Real Sociedad 0:0
    12.08.23 Real Sociedad - Girona 1:1
    13.05.23 Real Sociedad - Girona 2:2
    02.10.22 Girona - Real Sociedad 3:5
    25.02.19 Girona - Real Sociedad 0:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Real Sociedad
    UEFA Europa League
    15.10.26 Saint-Gilloise - Real Sociedad ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.10.26 Real Sociedad - Deportivo A Coruña ✺
    - Girona FC
    Spanish LaLiga2
    12.10.26 Tenerife - Girona ✺

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