Match Info

LaLiga - Round 16

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	00:00	Idman TV
Bangladesh	02:00	Begin
Belarus	23:00	Belarus 5
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN+
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	21:00	beIN Connect
Georgia	00:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	02:00	Setanta Sports
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	01:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	Canal 5, Sky Sport, TUDN
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ Sport 3
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	23:00	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	K+, SCTV 15


	Real Sociedad		Girona

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.7	4.45	Watch
	1.81	3.8	4.79
	1.75	3.77	4.75	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.6
	1.81	3.86	4.93	Watch
	1.8	3.66	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.71)	3.73 ↓ (3.92)	4.65 ↓ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
53.8%

Draw
25.6%

Girona
20.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.6%

24.2%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

23.1%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.7%	12.2%	6.1%

Real Sociedad - Girona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Girona (4.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (65 of 80 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.7% – 89.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Sociedad will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 25 - 86.2%). Girona (votes: 4 - 13.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 5. Zubeldia I. (C) 31. Martin J. 17. Gomez S. 4. Gorrotxategi J. 14. Kubo T. 23. Mendez B. 18. Soler C. 7. Barrenetxea A. 11. Guedes G.	13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 4. Martinez A. (C) 12. Vitor Reis 17. Blind D. 24. Moreno A. 20. Witsel A. 23. Martin I. 15. Tsygankov V. 18. Ounahi A. 21. Gil B. 19. Vanat V.
Substitutes
16. Caleta-Car D. 6. Elustondo A. 22. Goti Lopez M. 19. Karrikaburu J. 28. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 3. Munoz A. 20. Odriozola A. 15. Sadiq U. 24. Sucic L. 8. Turrientes B. 21. Zakharyan A.	43. Andreev A. (G) 32. Arango J. 10. Asprilla Y. 44. Ba P. 16. Frances A. 28. Jordana G. 29. Kourouma L. 11. Lemar T. 1. Livakovic D. (G) 2. Rincon H. 3. Roca J. 22. Solis Romero J. E.
Coaches
Francisco S.	Michel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Guedes G. ⚽, Zubeldia I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Vanat V. ↓, Roca J. ↑,
46', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Karrikaburu J. ↑,
60', Gil B. 🟨,
64', Guedes G. ↓, Zakharyan A. ↑,
65', Soler C. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
65', Martin I. ↓, Lemar T. ↑,
74', Aramburu J. 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Tsygankov V. ⚽, Ounahi A. (A),
77', Mendez B. ↓, Turrientes B. ↑,
77', Gil B. ↓, Asprilla Y. ↑,
79', Ounahi A. 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, Tsygankov V. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
85', Gomez S. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
90', Tsygankov V. ↓, Solis Romero J. E. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Real Sociedad has had a series of away games.

In this match, Real Sociedad is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Beitia L. (Groin Injury) Herrera Y. (Calf Injury) Oskarsson O. (Hamstring Injury) Oyarzabal M. (Muscle Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Krapyvtsov V. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lopez D. (Hamstring Injury) Portu (Knee Injury) Ruiz A. (Muscle Injury) Stuani C. (Calf Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
06.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Reus FC Reddis - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Real Sociedad - Villarreal	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Osasuna - Real Sociedad	1:3 ✺
07.11.25	Elche - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWT
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
07.12.25	Elche - Girona	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Ourense CF - Girona	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Girona - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Betis - Girona	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Girona - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
18.05.25	Real Sociedad - Girona	3:2
19.10.24	Girona - Real Sociedad	0:1
03.02.24	Girona - Real Sociedad	0:0
12.08.23	Real Sociedad - Girona	1:1
13.05.23	Real Sociedad - Girona	2:2
02.10.22	Girona - Real Sociedad	3:5
25.02.19	Girona - Real Sociedad	0:0

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