The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 37.4%
Draw 28.8%
Salford City 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
30.2%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
29.4%
24.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northampton Town's form might have worsened.
Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salford City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northampton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
20%
30%
Northampton Town - Salford City Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Salford will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 19% – 81%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs)).
Northampton has the most likely position - 1 (15.16%), has project points - 81, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), has a chance of promoted (50%), has a small chance of win league (15%).
Salford has the most likely position - 1 (21.01%), has project points - 84, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (31%), has a good chance of promoted (59%), has a chance of win league (21%).
This event has small quality19, importance66, match rating43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Northampton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Salford is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Northampton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Northampton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
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