Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday


	Mansfield Town		Southend United

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.75	5.5
	1.6	3.9	5.25
	1.6	3.8	5.75
	1.67	3.6	5
	1.72	3.79	5.37
	1.62	3.6	5.5
	1.73	3.78	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.54)	3.75 ↓ (4.12)	5.41 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
57.2%

Draw
25.3%

Southend United
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

22.9%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

13.7%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southend United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mansfield Town - Southend United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Mansfield has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Southend has a chance of relegated (45%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Mansfield is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League Two
15.12.20	Carlisle United - Mansfield Town	1:0 ✺
12.12.20	Grimsby Town - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Mansfield Town - Crawley Town	3:3 ✺
02.12.20	Cambridge United - Mansfield Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
29.11.20	Mansfield Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTTWW
- Southend United
English League Two
15.12.20	Southend United - Grimsby Town	3:1 ✺
12.12.20	Southend United - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Stevenage Borough - Southend United	0:0 ✺
28.11.20	Bolton Wanderers - Southend United	3:0 ✺
24.11.20	Southend United - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.04.15	Southend United - Mansfield Town	2:0
01.11.14	Mansfield Town - Southend United	1:2
08.02.14	Mansfield Town - Southend United	2:1
01.11.13	Southend United - Mansfield Town	3:0

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