The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Libertad Asuncion 39.4%
Draw 28.6%
Sol de América 32%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
25.3%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.1%
27.4%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.
Sol de América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sol de América's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+19.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de América than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sol de América, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
33.3%
25%
Libertad Asuncion - Sol de América Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Sol de América will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 33. Piris I. 32. Fretes A. 5. Viera D. 17. Espinoza M. 27. Jacquet M. 6. Campuzano A. 21. Sanabria L. 19. Lezcano R. 7. Cardozo O. 20. Bareiro A.
36. Medina B. (G) 17. Ojeda J. 5. Garcia R. (C) 2. Gimenez G. 14. Diaz F. 9. Fernandez D. 7. Valdez D. 18. Orue D. 11. Ortiz L. 8. Amarilla C. 29. Cabrera L.
Substitutes
9. Aguilar G. 26. Caballero H. 36. Cardozo Lucena A. 18. Franco I. 22. Martinez H. 11. Mendieta W. 16. Riveros C. 29. Rojas V. (G) 24. Santa C. R. 37. Schabus M. 13. Silva A. 35. Villalba R.
33. Banegas J. F. 21. Barrios V. 30. Benegas I. 32. Caceres E. 4. Delvalle R. 25. Diaz F. 40. Dietze S. 16. Gimenez A. 22. Gonzalez M. 1. Ortiz G. (G) 23. Quintana B. 19. Roa R.
Coaches
Aquino S.
Torres R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Campuzano A. 🟨,
31', Fernandez D. 🟨,
45+1', Ojeda J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fernandez D. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
63', Fretes A. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
63', Cardozo O. ↓, Santa C. R. ↑,
66', Orue D. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Espinoza M. ⚽,
72', Campuzano A. ↓, Caballero H. ↑,
72', Bareiro A. ↓, Mendieta W. ↑,
73', Ojeda J. ↓, Roa R. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Lezcano R. ⚽, Sanabria L. (A),
80', Amarilla C. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
80', Valdez D. ↓, Quintana B. ↑,
82', Cabrera L. ↓, Dietze S. ↑,
86', Sanabria L. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
90', Dietze S. 🟨,
90+5', Diaz F. 🟨,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 5.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Sol de América could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Libertad will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Libertad won 15 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 43:15 (average 2.2:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:11 (average 2:1.2).