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Current Win Probability
Lille 22.3%
Draw 28.1%
Chelsea 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.5%
26%
53.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
16.5%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelsea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
24.8%
16.6%
58.6%
Lille - Chelsea Predictions
Users Predictions:
145 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 36 - 24.8%). Chelsea will win (votes: 85 - 58.6%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 16.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 50.6% – 66.6%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.
Lille was already of round of 16, has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Chelsea was already of round of 16, has a very good chance of qtrs (>99%), has a good chance of semis (54%), has a chance of final (26%), has a small chance of win league (11%).
This event has big quality78, importance56, match rating67. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Lille is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Chelsea is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Chelsea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Chelsea is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Lille won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
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