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Current Win Probability
Lille 32.6%
Draw 29.9%
Wolfsburg 37.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
27.9%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
20.1%
47.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.
Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lille that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolfsburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.4%
17.6%
64%
Lille - Wolfsburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
125 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 23 - 18.4%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 80 - 64%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 17.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 55.6% – 72.4%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Lille has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (9%), has a chance of 2nd (17%), has a chance of 3rd (27%), has a chance of round of 16 (26%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Wolfsburg has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (27%), has a chance of 2nd (28%), has a chance of 3rd (26%), has a good chance of round of 16 (54%), has a chance of qtrs (21%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Lille is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Wolfsburg in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Lille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Lille won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
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