Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App
Argentina	11:30	Disney+
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	15:30	DAZN 1
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	11:30	Disney+
China	22:30	ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:30	Disney+
Denmark	15:30	See, Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	15:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Extra 2
Hungary	15:30	Net4+
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	K-Vision, RCTI+
Japan	23:30	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect
Poland	15:30	Viaplay
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect
Turkey	17:30	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+
Vietnam	21:30	ON Plus
International	14:30	Disney+, Onefootball


	Wolfsburg		Bochum

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	4.2	5
				Watch
	1.65	4.37	5.08
				Watch
	1.62	4.2	5	Watch
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.52)	4.26 ↓ (4.5)	5.03 ↓ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsburg
58.6%

Draw
22.4%

Bochum
19%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.8%

21.3%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

20.6%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolfsburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.8%	29.2%	0%

Wolfsburg - Bochum Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Muller M. (G) 5. Roerslev Rasmussen M. 18. Vavro D. 4. Koulierakis K. 21. Maehle J. 11. Tomas T. 6. Vranckx A. 32. Svanberg M. (C) 39. Wimmer P. 23. Wind J. 9. Amoura M.	1. Horn T. (G) 14. Oermann T. 4. Masovic E. 20. Ordets I. 5. Bernardo 21. Holtmann G. 19. Bero M. 6. Sissoko I. 17. Krauss T. 33. Hofmann P. (C) 11. Masouras G.
Substitutes
17. Behrens K. 3. Bornauw S. 24. Dardai B. 31. Gerhardt Y. 16. Kaminski J. 10. Nmecha L. 33. Odogu D. 12. Pervan P. (G) 7. Skov Olsen A.	29. Broschinski M. 10. de Wit D. 27. Drewes P. (G) 2. Gamboa C. 8. Losilla A. 13. Medic J. 23. Miyoshi K. 24. Pannewig M. 32. Wittek M.
Coaches
Hasenhuttl R.	Hecking D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Bero M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Masovic E. ⚽, Bero M. (A),
58', Tomas T. ↓, Skov Olsen A. ↑,
58', Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↓, Bornauw S. ↑,
63', Wimmer P. ↓, Gerhardt Y. ↑,
63', Vranckx A. ↓, Dardai B. ↑,
66', Wind J. 🟨,
72', Ordets I. 🟨,
78', Holtmann G. ↓, Wittek M. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Svanberg M. ⚽,
85', Hofmann P. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
86', Bornauw S. 🟨,
89', Amoura M. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
90', Wittek M. 🟨,
90+4', Sissoko I. ↓, Losilla A. ↑,
90+4', Masouras G. ↓, Gamboa C. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Wolfsburg is a favorite.

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Arnold M. (Knee Injury) Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Yellow Cards) Grabara K. (Thigh Injury) Majer L. (Ankle Injury) Nmecha L. (Groin Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Bochum: Boadu M. (Thigh Injury) Passlack F. (Eye injury)

There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Klinger N. (Wrist Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bochum: Drewes P. (Illness)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:9 (average 2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Wolfsburg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
15.02.25	Stuttgart - Wolfsburg	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTTTL
- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
15.02.25	Bochum - Borussia Dortmund	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Holstein Kiel - Bochum	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Bochum - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bochum	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Bochum - RB Leipzig	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
05.10.24	Bochum - Wolfsburg	1:3
20.04.24	Wolfsburg - Bochum	1:0
02.12.23	Bochum - Wolfsburg	3:1
22.04.23	Bochum - Wolfsburg	1:5
29.10.22	Wolfsburg - Bochum	4:0
09.01.22	Bochum - Wolfsburg	1:0
14.08.21	Wolfsburg - Bochum	1:0

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