The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Linfield 78.2%
Draw 15%
Glenavon 6.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.1%
21.3%
12.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.6%
20.2%
11.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Linfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Linfield's performance.
Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Glenavon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Linfield that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Glenavon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Linfield - Glenavon Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.25 - Linfield (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Linfield will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Linfield will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Linfield (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Johns Ch. (G) 26. Baird I. 24. Brown S. 3. East E. 29. Fitzpatrick M. 15. Hall B. 8. McClean K. 17. McKee C. 38. Morrison C. 5. Shields C. (C) 32. Taylor S.
1. Carney J. (G) 27. Carlin S. 5. Cartwright L. 17. Lowe K. 8. Malone J. 15. McClelland K. 9. McDaid D. 29. McGovern P. 6. McKeown B. (C) 2. McMullan J. 14. O'Kane O.
Substitutes
10. Allen C. 21. Archer J. 7. Millar K. 9. Offord K. 2. Roscoe S. 51. Walsh D. (G) 20. Yates M.
25. Bosakani B. 13. Byrne M. (G) 21. Kee J. 11. Mallon S. 3. Murphy H. 22. O'Connor M. 26. Smith C.
Coaches
Healy D.
McLaughlin P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, McClean K. ⚽,
32', Malone J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Hall B. 🟨,
61', McGovern P. ↓, O'Connor M. ↑,
61', McDaid D. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, McClean K. ⚽,
65', Baird I. ↓, Millar K. ↑,
65', McKee C. ↓, Archer J. ↑,
65', Taylor S. ↓, Offord K. ↑,
72', Shields C. ↓, Allen C. ↑,
77', Morrison C. ↓, Yates M. ↑,
81', McMullan J. ↓, Bosakani B. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Linfield won 4.
Linfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Glenavon is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Glenavon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Linfield is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Linfield won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 51:20. (average 2.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Linfield won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:10. (average 3.1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Linfield - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.13%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.