Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Lipno Stęszew		Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.6	3.05
	2.2	3.35	3.02
	2.00	3.74	3.07	Watch
	2	3.6	3.12	Watch
	1.75	3.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2)	3.64 ↑ (3.63)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lipno Stęszew
46.4%

Draw
25.3%

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

25.1%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

24.1%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lipno Stęszew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Lipno Stęszew - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Maroszek W. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Lipno Stęszew has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nowe Skalmierzyce is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lipno Stęszew could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
12.10.25	Noteć Czarnków - Lipno Stęszew	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Lipno Stęszew - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lipno Stęszew	3:4 ✺
20.09.25	Lipno Stęszew - Elana Toruń	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lipno Stęszew	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWWTL
- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.10.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Luzino	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Noteć Czarnków	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Flota Świnoujście	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTTLL

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