Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ⏱️ In 4h 7m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Anfield (Liverpool) 🌤️ ...

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Andorra	21:00	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Belarus	23:00	Sport TV
Bolivia	16:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	03:00	MyTV
Canada	16:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	15:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Ecuador	15:00	ESPN
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	22:00	Action 24
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	Vidio
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 4
Italy	21:00	Como TV
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	02:00	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	04:00	SKY NET Sports 3
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Paraguay	17:00	ESPN
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	04:00	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	05:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League
Tajikistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Turkmenistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	20:00	BBC Radio 5 Live, ITV 1, ITV X, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, STV, STV Player, UTV
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	16:00	Paramount+
Uzbekistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Liverpool		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.75	2.85	Watch
	2.15	3.90	3.00
	2.18	3.80	2.85	Watch
	2.25	3.87	3.09
	2.17	3.9	3.19	Watch
	2.19	3.70	3.00
	2.21	3.92	3.11	Watch
	2.14	3.85	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.72)	3.84 ↑ (3.69)	3 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
43.5%

Draw
24.8%

Chelsea
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.7%

25.6%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

26.1%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liverpool's performance.

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelsea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liverpool that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelsea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Liverpool - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Chelsea will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Liverpool (2.45) (votes: 82%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.

Liverpool is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Chelsea have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Liverpool may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Liverpool holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Liverpool: Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Ekitike H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Frimpong J. (Muscle Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Nallo A. (Leg Injury).

Confirmed absences for Chelsea: James R. (Knee Injury) Joao Pedro (Thigh Injury) Martinez E. (Broken jawbone) Palmer C. (Red Card).

Doubtful / questionable for Liverpool: Munoz V. (Knee Injury) Szoboszlai D. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Chelsea: Chavarria P. (Injury) Gittens J. (Ankle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool has recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:21 (averaging 1.5:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Liverpool against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:10 goals (averaging 2:1.1 per game).

Outrights of English League Cup for now

Liverpool: 19.77% Chelsea: 13.76%

Last Results with these Odds

Chelsea - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.68%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
25.10.26	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.10.26	Liverpool - Villarreal	4:3 ✺
English Premier League
17.10.26	Brentford - Liverpool	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	LASK Linz - Liverpool	3:6 ✺
English Premier League
11.10.26	Liverpool - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL
- Chelsea
English Premier League
24.10.26	Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Everton - Chelsea	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Chelsea - Bournemouth	5:1 ✺
18.09.26	Brentford - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Chelsea - Hull City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
09.05.26	Liverpool - Chelsea	1:1
04.10.25	Chelsea - Liverpool	2:1
04.05.25	Chelsea - Liverpool	3:1
20.10.24	Liverpool - Chelsea	2:1
English League Cup
25.02.24	Chelsea - Liverpool	0:1 ET
English Premier League
31.01.24	Liverpool - Chelsea	4:1
13.08.23	Chelsea - Liverpool	1:1

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