Match Info

Championship - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: The Home of the Set Fare Arena (Livingston)

Referee: Clancy K. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Livingston TV


	Livingston		Dunfermline Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	3.9
	1.75	3.40	3.90
	1.75	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.78	3.91	4.39
	1.78	3.82	4.18	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4.2
	1.72	3.6	4.17	Watch
	1.77	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.77)	3.65 ↑ (3.59)	4.14 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livingston
52.5%

Draw
25.2%

Dunfermline Athletic
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

28%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Livingston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Livingston will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Prior J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 23. Kabongolo B. 21. Iseni B. 24. Montgomery A. 39. Polworth L. 8. Pittman S. 20. Danso E. 25. Anderson B. 9. Muirhead R. (C) 19. van Hoeven B.	1. Oxborough A. (G) 15. Cleall-Harding S. 6. Abdulai N. 24. Lobban D. 19. Oyirwoth A. 14. Amade A. 22. Bray K. 47. Fraser R. (C) 26. Tod A. 7. Morrison C. 10. Shaw O.
Substitutes
27. Carey G. 36. Culbert S. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 2. Kerr C. 15. MacPherson C. 17. May S. 5. McGowan R. 7. Sinclair T. 4. Wilkie J.	99. Adams O. 33. Cooper J. 12. Dibaga M. (G) 25. Donnelly A. 8. Gilmour C. 20. Kane Ch. 11. Kearney S. 5. Robinson L. 9. Rudden Z.
Coaches
Whelan G.	Lennon N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Iseni B. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, van Hoeven B. ⚽, Muirhead R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Danso E. 🟨,
61', Montgomery A. ↓, Wilkie J. ↑,
61', Danso E. ↓, MacPherson C. ↑,
65', Tod A. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
72', Shaw O. ↓, Adams O. ↑,
72', Bray K. ↓, Rudden Z. ↑,
74', van Hoeven B. ↓, Sinclair T. ↑,
74', Iseni B. ↓, McGowan R. ↑,
83', Morrison C. ↓, Kane Ch. ↑,
83', Amade A. ↓, Gilmour C. ↑,
88', Polworth L. ↓, May S. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Muirhead R. ⚽, May S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dunfermline may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Livingston is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Livingston won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Livingston: 22.81% Dunfermline: 8.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Livingston	9	4	1	4	13:9	4	13
5	Dunfermline	7	3	3	1	6:4	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livingston FC
Scottish Football Championship
07.08.26	Partick Thistle - Livingston	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Livingston - Queens Park	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Stenhousemuir - Livingston	1:0 penalties ✺
21.07.26	Livingston - Forfar Athletic	8:0 ✺
18.07.26	Livingston - Partick Thistle	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL
- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish League Cup
15.08.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Ross County	1:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
08.08.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
26.07.26	St. Mirren - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1 ✺
21.07.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Cove Rangers	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
02.04.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston	1:0
15.02.25	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0
Scottish Challenge Cup
05.02.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston	0:2
Scottish Football Championship
29.10.24	Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston	3:0
03.08.24	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
Scottish League Cup
20.07.24	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0
Scottish Football Championship
03.04.18	Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston	1:0

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