Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday


	Livorno		Como

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.9	2.15
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.75	3	1.95
	3.1	3.1	2.17
	3.32	3.28	2.2
	3.5	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.26	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (3.74)	3.13 ↑ (3.08)	2.12 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
27.6%

Draw
29.3%

Como
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

29.4%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

19.7%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Livorno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Como, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Livorno - Como Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie B).

Livorno is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Como is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Livorno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Como will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Livorno won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Livorno won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
11.04.21	Lucchese - Livorno	0:0 ✺
03.04.21	Livorno - Pistoiese	5:0 ✺
28.03.21	Livorno - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
21.03.21	Pontedera - Livorno	1:1 ✺
16.03.21	Livorno - Grosseto	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWWTT
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie C Group A
14.04.21	Olbia - Como	3:0 ✺
11.04.21	Como - Grosseto	2:2 ✺
03.04.21	Carrarese - Como	0:1 ✺
27.03.21	Como - Pontedera	4:2 ✺
21.03.21	Piacenza - Como	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
23.12.20	Como - Livorno	1:0
29.01.17	Livorno - Como	1:2
14.09.16	Como - Livorno	0:1
Italian Serie B
25.01.16	Livorno - Como	1:1
12.09.15	Como - Livorno	1:2

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