Match Info

Cymru South - Round 25

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Ammanford		Cardiff Draconians

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.65	4.35
	1.63	3.95	4.58
	1.7	3.9	4.46	Watch
	1.62	3.5	4.33
	1.71	3.83	4.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.9)	3.77 ↑ (3.62)	4.44 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ammanford
55.1%

Draw
24.3%

Cardiff Draconians
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ammanford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ammanford's performance.

Cardiff Draconians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ammanford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Ammanford - Cardiff Draconians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Thomas C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Manga M. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Giardelli A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 8).

Ammanford is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cardiff Draconians has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cardiff Draconians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cardiff Draconians has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ammanford is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ammanford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Cardiff Draconians	7	2	2	3	9:12	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
01.03.26	Afan Lido - Ammanford	3:1 ✺
24.02.26	Ammanford - Aberystwyth Town	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Ammanford - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Caerau Ely - Ammanford	3:1 ✺
23.01.26	Ammanford - Trefelin	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWTLL
- Cardiff Draconians
Welsh Cymru South
04.03.26	Trefelin - Cardiff Draconians	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Treowen Stars - Cardiff Draconians	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Cardiff Draconians - Baglan Dragons	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Aberystwyth Town - Cardiff Draconians	3:2 ✺
16.01.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Cardiff Draconians	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
26.07.25	Cardiff Draconians - Ammanford	0:1

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