Match Info

Date: 17 June 2021, Thursday


	Londrina		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3	2.85	2.33	Watch
	3.4	2.85	2.23
	3.65	3.09	2.29
	3.4	2.88	2.25
	3.44	3.08	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.19)	2.94 ↑ (2.92)	2.27 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
27.8%

Draw
31.4%

Botafogo RJ
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

31.6%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

23.2%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Londrina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Londrina - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Londrina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Londrina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Botafogo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
13.06.21	Coritiba - Londrina	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
09.06.21	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
05.06.21	Londrina - Brusque	0:1 ✺
28.05.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Londrina	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
20.05.21	Cianorte - Londrina	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWLTW
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie B
13.06.21	Botafogo RJ - Remo	3:0 ✺
05.06.21	Botafogo RJ - Coritiba	2:0 ✺
28.05.21	Vila Nova - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.05.21	Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ	1:1 penalties ✺
16.05.21	Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTWL

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