Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)

Referee: Sampaio W. P. (Bra)


	Londrina		Grêmio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.8	3	1.98
	4.1	3	1.96
	3.7	3.05	2.02
	4.42	3.15	2.04
	4	2.9	2.05
	4.25	2.99	2	Watch
	3.75	3.1	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (2.83)	3.03 ↑ (2.97)	2.01 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
23.2%

Draw
30.7%

Grêmio
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

30.8%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

30.6%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Londrina's form might have worsened.

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Londrina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.4%	45.9%	21.6%

Londrina - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 12 - 32.4%). Grêmio will win (votes: 8 - 21.6%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 45.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.8% – 62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Grêmio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Londrina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.22	Guarani - Londrina	1:0 ✺
29.09.22	Vasco da Gama - Londrina	1:1 ✺
23.09.22	Londrina - Ponte Preta	0:2 ✺
16.09.22	Tombense - Londrina	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Londrina - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLTW
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie B
04.10.22	Grêmio - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
30.09.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
20.09.22	Grêmio - Sport Recife	3:0 ✺
16.09.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Grêmio - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.06.22	Grêmio - Londrina	1:0

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