Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Xsports
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Mexico	FOX One, Tubi TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Prime, Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Digiturk
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
International	OneFootball TV


	Lorient		Monaco

	1	X	2
	3.70	3.50	2.05	Watch
	3.50	3.40	2.10
	3.55	3.40	2.02
	3.81	3.50	2.12
	3.38	3.59	2.11	Watch
	3.75	3.35	2.09
	3.80	3.49	2.15	Watch
	3.65	3.45	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.31)	3.46 ↓ (3.57)	2.09 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
26.3%

Draw
27.7%

Monaco
46%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.5%

26.5%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

26.6%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lorient - Monaco Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Lorient (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Monaco (2.10) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lorient (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Monaco (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 2.

In recent outings, Lorient has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Monaco shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Monaco may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Monaco is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Lorient: Mbamba N. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Monaco: Brunner P. (Suspended).

Doubtful / questionable for Monaco: Dier E. (Muscle Injury) Idumbo S. (Injury).

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Lorient has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:35 (averaging 1.3:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lorient against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:18 goals (averaging 1.3:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	6	4	2	0	10:5	5	14
10	Lorient	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Monaco: 7.24% Lorient: 0.44%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
10.10.26	Lorient - Paris FC	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Le Mans - Lorient	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Lorient - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Lens - Lorient	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Lorient - Troyes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLTWL
- AS Monaco
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	CSKA Sofia - Monaco	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
10.10.26	Monaco - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Monaco - Pisa	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.09.26	Monaco - Lens	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
16.01.26	Monaco - Lorient	1:3
27.09.25	Lorient - Monaco	3:1
17.03.24	Monaco - Lorient	2:2
17.09.23	Lorient - Monaco	2:2
16.04.23	Monaco - Lorient	3:1
11.01.23	Lorient - Monaco	2:2
13.02.22	Monaco - Lorient	0:0

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