Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Los Chankas (Andahuaylas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	L1 Max, L1 Play, Liga 1 Play
World	Fanatiz


	Los Chankas		Universidad César Vallejo

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.57	3.7	4.75
	1.62	3.85	5.3	Watch
	1.62	3.9	5.3
	1.62	3.77	5.52	Watch
	1.57	3.75	5
	1.66	3.92	5.39	Watch
	1.62	3.85	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.86)	3.79 ↑ (3.54)	5.29 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Chankas
57.9%

Draw
24.5%

Universidad César Vallejo
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

26.7%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.8%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Chankas's performance.

Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Chankas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Los Chankas - Universidad César Vallejo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Los Chankas will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sotillo M. (C) 13. Ruidias M. 5. Becerra K. 2. Gamarra C. 26. Quintana A. 10. Casquete A. 32. Salinas R. 11. Lopez C. 8. Carabano D. 21. Ledesma A. 7. Manzaneda J.	21. Carvallo J. (G) 32. Madrid J. 19. Ascues C. 5. Deneumostier A. 61. Bolivar J. 13. Barreto G. 88. Ballon J. 93. Rodriguez A. 17. Mena Y. 33. Benitez E. 10. Velez J. (C)
Substitutes
31. Aguilar R. 15. Chavez A. 30. Ferreyra D. (G) 24. Mejia C. 4. Mogollon E. 22. Murialdo A. 14. Robles A. 18. Takeuchi O. 20. Temoche D.	4. Amasifuen N. 23. Da Silva P. 30. Falcon Camacho W. S. (G) 22. Flores F. 15. Grandez G. 20. Noronha O. 6. Perea G. 38. Perez D. 16. Valiente A.
Coaches
Vaioli C.	Hernandez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Becerra K. ⚽, Lopez C. (A),
36', Ruidias M. 🟨,
38', Velez J. (Pen),
44', Ascues C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ruidias M. ↓, Mogollon E. ↑,
57', Benitez E. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
61', Bolivar J. 🟨,
64', Salinas R. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
64', Casquete A. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Lopez C. ⚽, Carabano D. (A),
75', Barreto G. ↓, Da Silva P. ↑,
75', Bolivar J. ↓, Amasifuen N. ↑,
76', Carabano D. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
76', Quintana A. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Mena Y. (Pen),
89', Quintana A. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
90+3', Ledesma A. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16).

Los Chankas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches César Vallejo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Los Chankas is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Los Chankas won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Los Chankas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1
17.10.24	Cusco - Los Chankas	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Los Chankas - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 ✺
23.09.24	Sport Huancayo - Los Chankas	3:1 ✺
19.09.24	Los Chankas - Cajamarca	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	FBC Melgar - Los Chankas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLTL
- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 1
18.10.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Sporting Cristal - Universidad César Vallejo	4:1 ✺
22.09.24	Universidad César Vallejo - ADT Tarma	0:0 ✺
18.09.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Unión Comercio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
11.05.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Los Chankas	1:1
Peruvian Liga 2
05.08.18	Los Chankas - Universidad César Vallejo	0:0
22.04.18	Universidad César Vallejo - Los Chankas	2:0
24.09.17	Los Chankas - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1
04.06.17	Universidad César Vallejo - Los Chankas	5:2

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