The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Antonio 30.8%
Draw 28.7%
Louisville City 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
29.8%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
30.5%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for San Antonio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-2%)
San Antonio - Louisville City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Batrouni J. (G) 13. Ward A. 21. Crognale A. 17. Barbir D. 3. Taintor M. (C) 22. Cuello E. 10. Hernandez J. 15. Maldonado M. 8. Hernandez N. 19. Parano C. 99. Sorto C.
29. Schewe R. (G) 3. Morris J. 5. Dayes B. 13. Dia A. (C) 15. Perez E. 31. Lambert K. 8. Davila T. 2. McFadden A. 47. Akale M. 9. Donovan C. 7. Serrano R.
Substitutes
14. Berron L. 4. Blanco N. 6. Calov C. 46. Guevara B. 7. Haakenson L. 31. Namani D. (G) 9. Patino S. 77. Ricol L. 45. Urrutia L.
99. Conley C. 27. Davila E. 28. Duke C. 23. Gleadle S. 21. Huerman Q. 14. Showunmi T. 4. Totsch S. 30. Troutman R. (G) 25. Wilson J.
Coaches
Llamosa C.
Bird S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Maldonado M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Sorto C. ↓, Ricol L. ↑,
67', Serrano R. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
68', Lambert K. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
68', Perez E. ↓, Totsch S. ↑,
70', Davila E. 🟨,
78', McFadden A. 🟨,
82', Hernandez N. ↓, Haakenson L. ↑,
82', Donovan C. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
90+1', Akale M. ↓, Huerman Q. ↑,
Penalties (7 - 8)
1, Taintor M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Totsch S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Maldonado M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Davila E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cuello E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Wilson J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Ricol L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Huerman Q. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Hernandez J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Davila T. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Parano C. (Penalty Awarded),
6, McFadden A. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Barbir D. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Morris J. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Ward A. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Showunmi T. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Crognale A. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Dayes B. (Penalty Awarded),
10, Haakenson L. (Penalty Awarded),
10, Dia A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, San Antonio has had a series of home games.
Recently, Louisville City has had a series of away games.
Louisville City could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).