Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY)

Referee: Scheer J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Louisville City		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.41	4.1	6.25
	1.42	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.4	4.58	6.83
	1.45	4.51	6.6	Watch
	1.4	4.55	6.75	Watch
	1.42	4.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.61)	4.46 ↑ (4.17)	6.57 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

Watch this match and USL Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: KPHE

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Louisville City
65.2%

Draw
20.7%

Phoenix Rising
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

22.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

21.5%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louisville City's performance.

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Phoenix Rising might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Louisville City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Phoenix Rising could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Louisville City - Phoenix Rising Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Las D. (G) 32. Adams K. (C) 6. Charpie W. 17. Davila T. 14. Harris W. 2. McFadden A. 3. Morris J. 16. Perez A. 7. Serrano R. 4. Totsch S. 23. Wynder E.	1. Rios R. (G) 9. Angel T. 14. Cuello E. 12. Dennis C. 30. Fuenmayor A. 71. Margaritha J. 72. Rito E. 5. Traore M. 10. Varela F. 27. Wyke L. 26. Zambrano R. (C)
Substitutes
13. Dia A. 12. Faundez D. (G) 20. Gleadle S. 9. Goodrum P. 11. McCabe N. 15. Perez E. 80. Stamps H. 25. Wilson J.	7. Barker D. 91. Cabral R. 29. Formella D. 8. Hernandez J. 38. Johnson D. 22. Rakovsky P. (G) 17. Scearce J.
Coaches
Cruz D.	Gomez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Margaritha J. ⚽, Rito E. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Harris W. ⚽, Adams K. (A),
28', 2 - 1, Harris W. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Angel T. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
66', Varela F. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Serrano R. ⚽,
67', Rito E. ↓, Barker D. ↑,
69', Perez A. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
76', Harris W. ↓, Goodrum P. ↑,
76', McFadden A. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
79', Wyke L. ↓, Scearce J. ↑,
79', Dennis C. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
81', Fuenmayor A. 🟨,
87', Davila T. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
87', Serrano R. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽,

Preview

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

Phoenix Rising is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

Louisville City is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Phoenix Rising is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Louisville City is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Louisville City to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Louisville City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
19.10.24	San Antonio - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Indy Eleven - Louisville City	2:2 ✺
02.10.24	Louisville City - Miami	3:0 ✺
28.09.24	Louisville City - Memphis 901	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWTWW
- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
19.10.24	Phoenix Rising - Memphis 901	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Oakland Roots - Phoenix Rising	0:1 ✺
09.10.24	New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising	1:2 ✺
04.10.24	Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
17.06.23	Phoenix Rising - Louisville City	2:2
20.07.22	Louisville City - Phoenix Rising	0:0
08.11.18	Louisville City - Phoenix Rising	1:0

Upcoming Matches