Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Louisville City		Richmond Kickers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.46	5.99
	1.41	4.6	6.22	Watch
	1.39	4.5	6.36
	1.48	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	4.44 ↑ (4.3)	6.02 ↓ (6.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville City
64.1%

Draw
20.6%

Richmond Kickers
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

21.2%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

20.1%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Richmond Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Louisville City - Richmond Kickers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Las D. (G) 4. Totsch S. 24. Jones J. 32. Adams K. (C) 15. Perez E. 17. Davila T. 27. Davila E. 13. Dia A. 25. Wilson J. 7. Serrano R. 23. Gleadle S.	1. Jara P. (G) 4. Fitch S. 38. Garnett G. 14. Guilherme Diniz 3. Anderson H. 2. Barnathan D. 34. Howell B. 10. Seufert N. 27. O'Dwyer C. 19. Espinal D. 9. Kirkland J.
Substitutes
12. Faundez D. (G) 9. Goodrum P. 31. Lambert K. 8. Moguel C. 3. Morris J. 10. Ownby B. 16. Perez A.	20. Billhardt A. 33. Bolduc M. 16. Cela K. 5. Schenfeld M. 35. Sneddon J. (G) 32. Terzaghi E. 17. Vaughan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', Espinal D. 🟨,
45+1', Fitch S. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Perez E. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Anderson H. ↓, Terzaghi E. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Serrano R. ⚽,
58', 2 - 1, Seufert N. ⚽,
59', Espinal D. ↓, Billhardt A. ↑,
59', Howell B. ↓, Schenfeld M. ↑,
59', Kirkland J. ↓, Bolduc M. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Gleadle S. ⚽,
63', Davila E. ↓, Lambert K. ↑,
63', Dia A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
72', Gleadle S. ↓, Goodrum P. ↑,
72', Perez E. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
77', Serrano R. 🟨,
77', Vaughan J. 🟨,
87', 4 - 1, Perez A. ⚽, Goodrum P. (A),
88', Serrano R. ↓, Ownby B. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 5.

Louisville City in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Richmond Kickers is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Richmond Kickers have a series of home games.

In this match Louisville City is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Louisville City to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19:2 (average 2.4:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Louisville City won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:2 (average 2.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
19.04.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.25	Louisville City - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
05.04.25	Sacramento Republic - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Louisville City - Detroit City	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Louisville City - Loudoun United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTWW
- Richmond Kickers
USL League One
19.04.25	Richmond Kickers - Westchester SC	4:4 ✺
12.04.25	Naples - Richmond Kickers	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Richmond Kickers - Union Omaha	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Richmond Kickers - AV Alta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
25.08.18	Richmond Kickers - Louisville City	0:6
14.04.18	Louisville City - Richmond Kickers	2:1
14.10.17	Louisville City - Richmond Kickers	3:1
08.04.17	Richmond Kickers - Louisville City	0:1
02.10.16	Louisville City - Richmond Kickers	2:0 ET
10.09.16	Louisville City - Richmond Kickers	2:0
21.05.16	Richmond Kickers - Louisville City	0:0

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