Match Info

Date: 9 February 2020, Sunday


	Lugo		Elche

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.5	Watch
	3	2.9	2.6
	3.1	2.85	2.6	Watch
	3.01	2.9	2.49
	3.21	2.94	2.58
	2.88	3	2.6
	3.22	2.8	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (3.02)	2.91 ↓ (2.93)	2.57 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
30.9%

Draw
32.4%

Elche
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

32.2%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

23.5%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lugo - Elche Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish LaLiga2
01.02.20	Extremadura UD - Lugo	1:0 ✺
25.01.20	Huesca - Lugo	2:1 ✺
18.01.20	Lugo - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
15.01.20	Rayo Vallecano - Lugo	1:0 ✺
04.01.20	Lugo - Almería	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
01.02.20	Elche - Málaga	2:0 ✺
26.01.20	Almería - Elche	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
22.01.20	Elche - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
19.01.20	Elche - Alcorcón	1:1 ✺
14.01.20	Sporting de Gijón - Elche	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.09.19	Elche - Lugo	1:1
24.02.19	Lugo - Elche	2:2
07.10.18	Elche - Lugo	2:1
17.02.17	Lugo - Elche	1:2
17.09.16	Elche - Lugo	0:3
16.04.16	Elche - Lugo	2:0
14.11.15	Lugo - Elche	1:1

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