Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, TVG 2


	Lugo		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.65	3.4	4.5
	1.56	3.85	5.6
	1.53	3.91	5.62	Watch
	1.57	3.66	6.28
	1.56	3.85	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.63)	3.7 ↑ (3.6)	5.6 ↑ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
58.8%

Draw
24.8%

Gimnástica Segoviana
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.6%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24.7%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+1%)

Lugo - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cacharron P. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 23. Rodriguez J. 4. Ruiz E. (C) 3. Zoilo A. 18. Gonzalez J. 8. Gonzalez Y. 14. Vidal D. 10. Cabo J. 15. Reniero N. 19. Afriyie J.	44. Oliva H. (G) 21. Juan Silva 5. Pascual A. 3. Molina S. 17. Chupo 7. Berlanga M. 14. Llorente F. 6. Olmedilla M. 23. Ferreiroa F. 18. Cespedes M. 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
5. Bernardo 21. Ceberio J. 7. Hernandez R. 1. Lavin M. (G) 24. Martinez R. 9. Mendoza B. 17. Ochoa M. 33. Pereira P. 11. Perero G. 29. Rubal P. 20. Sanchez M. 22. Vaquero	11. Astray P. 10. Borrego J. 1. Carmona P. (G) 22. De La Mata J. 8. Diaz H. 19. Farrell J. 4. Lopez D. 26. Marcos H. 32. Maroto A. 20. Tellechea I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Llorente F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Reniero N. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
59', Gonzalez J. ↓, Perero G. ↑,
59', Cabo J. ↓, Mendoza B. ↑,
62', Ferreiroa F. ↓, De La Mata J. ↑,
62', Gomez D. ↓, Farrell J. ↑,
67', Chupo ↓, Borrego J. ↑,
68', Pascual A. 🟨,
73', Vidal D. ↓, Vaquero ↑,
73', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
90+2', Llorente F. ↓, Astray P. ↑,
90+2', Olmedilla M. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
90+4', Perero G. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

G Segoviana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lugo is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lugo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.03.25	Lugo - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Ponferradina - Lugo	0:1 ✺
19.03.25	Celta de Vigo B - Lugo	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Lugo - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Barakaldo - Lugo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWWWL
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.03.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.12.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Lugo	1:0

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