Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday


	Lugo		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2.2	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.25
	3.6	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.55	2.95	2.18
	3.75	3.07	2.3
				Watch
	3.48	3.15	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.39)	3.06 ↓ (3.07)	2.22 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
26.6%

Draw
30.9%

Rayo Vallecano
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

30.6%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

20.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lugo - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs)).

Lugo has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rayo Vallecano has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Lugo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rayo Vallecano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lugo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rayo Vallecano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Lugo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.20	Tenerife - Lugo	1:1 ✺
24.10.20	UD Logroñés - Lugo	2:3 ✺
21.10.20	Lugo - Girona	3:0 ✺
17.10.20	Castellón - Lugo	0:1 ✺
11.10.20	Lugo - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 TWWWL
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.20	Rayo Vallecano - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
25.10.20	Albacete Balompié - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
22.10.20	Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
10.10.20	Tenerife - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
15.01.20	Rayo Vallecano - Lugo	1:0
03.11.19	Lugo - Rayo Vallecano	1:0
27.05.18	Rayo Vallecano - Lugo	1:0
22.12.17	Lugo - Rayo Vallecano	1:2
22.04.17	Rayo Vallecano - Lugo	2:0
13.11.16	Lugo - Rayo Vallecano	1:0

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