Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 5 December 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	07:15	Optus Sport
Austria	21:15	Sky Sport
Belgium	21:15	VOOsport
Brazil	17:15	ESPN
Czech Republic	21:15	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	21:15	See, Viaplay
Finland	22:15	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	21:15	Sky Sport Premier League
Greece	22:15	Nova Sports
Italy	21:15	Sky Sport
Malaysia	04:15	Astro
Netherlands	21:15	Viaplay
Norway	21:15	Viaplay
Poland	21:15	Viaplay
Romania	22:15	Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	21:15	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:15	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Ukraine	22:15	Setanta Sports


	Luton Town		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	15	7	1.2
	15.5	6.75	1.2
	17.5	7.1	1.2	Watch
	15.68	7.13	1.2
	15.68	7.13	1.2
	15	6.5	1.17
	14.25	6.5	1.22	Watch
	16	7.6	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.58 ↑ (10.32)	6.96 ↑ (5.91)	1.2 ↓ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
6.2%

Draw
13.8%

Arsenal
80.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

9.2%

16.1%

74.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.3%	4.6%	93.1%

Luton Town - Arsenal Predictions

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (81 of 87 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.77% – 98.43%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 15. Mengi T. 2. Osho G. 29. Bell A. 12. Kabore I. 17. Mpanzu P. (C) 6. Barkley R. 45. Doughty A. 19. Brown J. 30. Townsend A. 11. Adebayo E.	22. Raya D. (G) 4. White B. 2. Saliba W. 6. Gabriel 15. Kiwior J. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 41. Rice D. 29. Havertz K. 7. Saka B. 9. Gabriel Jesus 11. Martinelli G.
Substitutes
8. Berry L. 14. Chong T. 18. Clark J. 26. Giles R. 38. Johnson J. 23. Krul T. (G) 9. Morris C. 43. Nelson Z. 7. Ogbene C.	17. Cedric 25. Elneny M. 20. Jorginho 24. Nelson R. 14. Nketiah E. 1. Ramsdale A. (G) 19. Trossard L. 76. Walters R. 35. Zinchenko O.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Arteta M.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).

Luton is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arsenal is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Arsenal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Arsenal have a series of home games.

In this match Arsenal is certain favorite.

There will not play in Luton: Andersen M. (Thigh Injury) Burke R. (Injury) Lokonga A. S. (Loan agreement) Potts D. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal: Partey T. (Muscle Injury) Smith Rowe E. (Knee Injury) Timber J. (Knee Injury) Vieira F. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Luton: Doughty A. (Hip Injury) Lockyer T. (Back Injury) Mengi T. (Knee Injury) Nakamba M. (Knee Injury) Woodrow C. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Tomiyasu T. (Calf Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English Premier League
02.12.23	Brentford - Luton Town	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Luton Town - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Manchester United - Luton Town	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Luton Town - Liverpool	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Aston Villa - Luton Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWLTL
- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
02.12.23	Arsenal - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.11.23	Arsenal - Lens	6:0 ✺
English Premier League
25.11.23	Brentford - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Arsenal - Burnley	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	Arsenal - Sevilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English League One
03.11.26	Huddersfield Town - Luton Town	✺
31.10.26	Peterborough United - Luton Town	✺
- Arsenal FC
UEFA Champions League
04.11.26	Slavia Prague - Arsenal	✺
English Premier League
01.11.26	Liverpool - Arsenal	✺

Luton Town - Arsenal