Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra


	Luton Town		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	4	3.25	2
	3.8	3.25	2.05
	4	3.35	2.05	Watch
	4.2	3.42	2.04
	4.2	3.42	2.01
	3.6	3.4	2
	4.1	3.42	2	Watch
	4	3.35	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.53)	3.36 ↑ (3.34)	2.02 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
24%

Draw
28.6%

Crystal Palace
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

28.5%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

28.2%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26%	16%	58%

Luton Town - Crystal Palace Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 13 - 26%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 29 - 58%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 44.3% – 71.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 15. Mengi T. 4. Lockyer T. (C) 2. Osho G. 45. Doughty A. 17. Mpanzu P. 6. Barkley R. 29. Bell A. 30. Townsend A. 7. Ogbene C. 9. Morris C.	1. Johnstone S. (G) 2. Ward J. (C) 16. Andersen J. 6. Guehi M. 3. Mitchell T. 28. Doucoure C. 8. Lerma J. 7. Olise M. 10. Eze E. 15. Schlupp J. 22. Edouard O.
Substitutes
11. Adebayo E. 8. Berry L. 19. Brown J. 14. Chong T. 18. Clark J. 26. Giles R. 23. Krul T. (G) 47. Luker J. 43. Nelson Z.	29. Ahamada N. 9. Ayew J. 17. Clyne N. 4. Holding R. 19. Hughes W. 14. Mateta J. 11. Matheus Franca 31. Matthews R. (G) 26. Richards C.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Hodgson R.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 13).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Crystal Palace will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Luton: Andersen M. (Thigh Injury) Burke R. (Injury) Lokonga A. S. (Thigh Injury) Potts D. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Henderson D. (Thigh Injury) Rak-Sakyi J. (Thigh Injury) Tomkins J. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Luton: Bell A. (Thigh Injury) Doughty A. (Knock) Kabore I. (Concussion) Ogbene C. (Ankle Injury) Woodrow C. (Calf Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English Premier League
11.11.23	Manchester United - Luton Town	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Luton Town - Liverpool	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Aston Villa - Luton Town	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Nottingham Forest - Luton Town	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Luton Town - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTLTL
- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
11.11.23	Crystal Palace - Everton	2:3 ✺
04.11.23	Burnley - Crystal Palace	0:2 ✺
27.10.23	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	4:0 ✺
07.10.23	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLT

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