Match Info

Premier League - Round 37

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Emirates Stadium (London)

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Solh Sports 1
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
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Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN
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Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
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Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
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Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
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Romania	Voyo
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Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
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Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Arsenal		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.09	10	26
	1.1	11.5	21
	1.1	9.6	34
	1.11	11.5	27
	1.12	9.92	25.67	Watch
	1.1	10	26
	1.09	10	26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.12)	10.36 ↑ (9.85)	26.52 ↑ (19.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal
87.1%

Draw
9.3%

Burnley
3.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.5%

9.7%

4.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.6%	12.8%	10.6%

Arsenal - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 36 - 80%). Burnley will win (votes: 4 - 8.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 68.3% – 91.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, 1st Half - Arsenal (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.25 - Burnley (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1, 1st Half - Burnley (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 4 - 50%). Burnley (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raya D. (G) 3. Mosquera C. 2. Saliba W. 6. Gabriel 33. Calafiori R. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 41. Rice D. 10. Eze E. 7. Saka B. 29. Havertz K. 19. Trossard L.	13. Weiss M. (G) 2. Walker K. (C) 6. Tuanzebe A. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 16. Florentino 8. Ugochukwu L. 17. Tchaouna L. 28. Mejbri H. 11. Anthony J. 19. Flemming Z.
Substitutes
13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 56. Dowman M. 9. Gabriel Jesus 14. Gyökeres V. 5. Hincapie P. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 20. Madueke N. 11. Martinelli G. 36. Zubimendi M.	25. Amdouni Z. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 1. Dubravka M. (G) 10. Edwards M. 3. Hartman Q. 12. Humphreys B. 29. Laurent J. 20. Ward-Prowse J. 4. Worrall J.
Coaches
Arteta M.	Jackson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Mejbri H. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Havertz K. ⚽, Saka B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Havertz K. 🟨,
70', Mejbri H. ↓, Amdouni Z. ↑,
71', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
72', Calafiori R. ↓, Hincapie P. ↑,
73', Havertz K. ↓, Gyökeres V. ↑,
73', Eze E. ↓, Lewis-Skelly M. ↑,
78', Florentino ↓, Ward-Prowse J. ↑,
82', Esteve M. ↓, Humphreys B. ↑,
82', Tchaouna L. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
90+1', Flemming Z. 🟨,
90+3', Trossard L. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
90+3', Odegaard M. ↓, Zubimendi M. ↑,
90+4', Lucas Pires 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

Burnley is Relegated to Championship

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 4.

Arsenal has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Burnley is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arsenal is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Arsenal: Merino M. (Foot Injury) Timber J. (Ankle Injury) White B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:8. (average 1.9:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:6. (average 2.2:0.7).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Arsenal: 58.36%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8:4	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
10.05.26	West Ham United - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.05.26	Arsenal - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
02.05.26	Arsenal - Fulham	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
25.04.26	Arsenal - Newcastle United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWTW
- Burnley FC
English Premier League
10.05.26	Burnley - Aston Villa	2:2 ✺
01.05.26	Leeds United - Burnley	3:1 ✺
22.04.26	Burnley - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Burnley	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
01.11.25	Burnley - Arsenal	0:2
17.02.24	Burnley - Arsenal	0:5
11.11.23	Arsenal - Burnley	3:1
23.01.22	Arsenal - Burnley	0:0
18.09.21	Burnley - Arsenal	0:1
06.03.21	Burnley - Arsenal	1:1
13.12.20	Arsenal - Burnley	0:1

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