Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Action
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Mix
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool


	Brentford		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	6
	1.52	4.33	6
	1.52	4.45	6.5	Watch
	1.54	4.42	6.4
	1.54	4.43	6.38
	1.44	4.4	6.5
	1.52	4.45	6.2	Watch
	1.54	4.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)	4.39 ↓ (4.54)	6.25 ↓ (6.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentford
62.9%

Draw
21.8%

Luton Town
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

20.9%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

20.5%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.6%	7.4%	13%

Brentford - Luton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Brentford will win (43 of 54 users predict this - 79.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.89% – 90.37%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flekken M. (G) 20. Ajer K. 16. Mee B. 5. Pinnock E. 27. Janelt V. 15. Onyeka F. 6. Norgaard C. (C) 33. Yarmolyuk Y. 19. Mbeumo B. 7. Maupay N. 11. Wissa Y.	24. Kaminski T. (G) 15. Mengi T. 4. Lockyer T. (C) 2. Osho G. 12. Kabore I. 17. Mpanzu P. 6. Barkley R. 29. Bell A. 14. Chong T. 7. Ogbene C. 9. Morris C.
Substitutes
26. Baptiste S. 14. Ghoddos S. 4. Goode C. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 37. Olakigbe M. 25. Peart-Harris M. 30. Roerslev Rasmussen M. 21. Strakosha T. (G) 13. Zanka	11. Adebayo E. 8. Berry L. 19. Brown J. 18. Clark J. 26. Giles R. 38. Johnson J. 23. Krul T. (G) 43. Nelson Z. 30. Townsend A.
Coaches
Frank T.	Edwards R.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Brentford is a favorite.

There will not play in Brentford: Collins N. (Ankle Injury) Henry R. (Knee Injury) Hickey A. (Thigh Injury) Schade K. (Hip Injury) Toney I. (Suspended)

There will not play in Luton: Andersen M. (Thigh Injury) Burke R. (Injury) Lokonga A. S. (Thigh Injury) Nakamba M. (Knee Injury) Potts D. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Brentford: Damsgaard M. (Knock) Dasilva J. (Thigh Injury) Jensen M. (Knock) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Knock)

There are questionable in Luton: Kabore I. (Concussion) Woodrow C. (Calf Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brentford won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Brentford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English Premier League
25.11.23	Brentford - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	Liverpool - Brentford	3:0 ✺
04.11.23	Brentford - West Ham United	3:2 ✺
28.10.23	Chelsea - Brentford	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Brentford - Burnley	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLWWW
- Luton Town
English Premier League
25.11.23	Luton Town - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Manchester United - Luton Town	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Luton Town - Liverpool	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Aston Villa - Luton Town	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Nottingham Forest - Luton Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
20.01.21	Brentford - Luton Town	1:0
31.10.20	Luton Town - Brentford	0:3
25.02.20	Luton Town - Brentford	2:1
30.11.19	Brentford - Luton Town	7:0
Club Friendly
28.07.15	Luton Town - Brentford	2:1

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