Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 36

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Brazil	ESPN 4
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Germany	Sky Sport Premier League
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Hungary	Match 4
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
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Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
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Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Sky Sports
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Luton Town		Everton

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.75	2.4
	2.7	3.5	2.45
	2.78	3.7	2.48
	2.65	3.6	2.66
	2.81	3.7	2.49
	2.62	3.75	2.5
	2.77	3.84	2.54	Watch
	2.73	3.6	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.03)	3.68 ↓ (3.7)	2.5 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
35.4%

Draw
26.1%

Everton
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

25.6%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

25.7%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.1%	25%	38.9%

Luton Town - Everton Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 23 - 35.4%). Everton will win (votes: 25 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 26.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 26.7% – 50.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 16. Burke R. 15. Mengi T. 2. Osho G. 32. Onyedinma F. 28. Lokonga A. S. 6. Barkley R. 45. Doughty A. 14. Chong T. 9. Morris C. (C) 11. Adebayo E.	1. Pickford J. (G) 22. Godfrey B. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 32. Branthwaite J. 18. Young A. 11. Harrison J. 27. Gueye I. 37. Garner J. 7. McNeil D. 16. Doucoure A. 9. Calvert-Lewin D.
Substitutes
8. Berry L. 18. Clark J. 27. Hashioka D. 38. Johnson J. 23. Krul T. (G) 17. Mpanzu P. 1. Shea J. (G) 30. Townsend A. 10. Woodrow C.	14. Beto 28. Chermiti 23. Coleman S. 10. Danjuma A. 61. Dobbin L. 21. Gomes A. 5. Keane M. 8. Onana A. 12. Virginia J. (G)
Coaches
Edwards R.	Dyche S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Garner J. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Calvert-Lewin D. (Pen),
31', 1 - 1, Adebayo E. ⚽, Lokonga A. S. (A),
43', Chong T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Gueye I. 🟨,
55', Garner J. ↓, Onana A. ↑,
55', Doucoure A. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
67', Young A. ↓, Coleman S. ↑,
71', Onyedinma F. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
79', Calvert-Lewin D. ↓, Beto ↑,
80', Gueye I. ↓, Chermiti ↑,
80', Adebayo E. ↓, Townsend A. ↑,
88', Chong T. ↓, Berry L. ↑,
90+4', Gomes A. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 15).

Luton is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Everton is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Luton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Everton have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Luton: Andersen M. (Calf Injury) Bell A. (Thigh Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) Kabore I. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Heart Problems) Nakamba M. (Knee Injury) Ogbene C. (Thigh Injury) Potts D. (Injury)

There will not play in Everton: Alli D. (Muscle Injury) Mykolenko V. (Ankle Injury) Patterson N. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Everton: Coleman S. (Groin Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Luton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English Premier League
27.04.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Luton Town	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Luton Town - Brentford	1:5 ✺
13.04.24	Manchester City - Luton Town	5:1 ✺
06.04.24	Luton Town - Bournemouth	2:1 ✺
03.04.24	Arsenal - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWL
- Everton
English Premier League
27.04.24	Everton - Brentford	1:0 ✺
24.04.24	Everton - Liverpool	2:0 ✺
21.04.24	Everton - Nottingham Forest	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Chelsea - Everton	6:0 ✺
06.04.24	Everton - Burnley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
27.01.24	Everton - Luton Town	1:2
English Premier League
30.09.23	Everton - Luton Town	1:2

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