Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 34

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	00:00	Optus Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport
Brazil	11:00	ESPN
Cameroon	15:00	CRTV
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay, V Sport
Germany	16:00	Sky Sport Premier League
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
Norway	16:00	Viaplay
Poland	16:00	Viaplay
Serbia	16:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Ukraine	17:00	Setanta Sports


	Luton Town		Brentford

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.38
	2.8	3.5	2.4
	2.88	3.65	2.45
	2.88	3.6	2.5
	2.88	3.55	2.51
	2.75	3.8	2.15
	2.96	3.68	2.47	Watch
	2.88	3.6	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (2.93)	3.62 ↓ (3.72)	2.41 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luton Town
33.7%

Draw
26.5%

Brentford
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.6%

25.7%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

26.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	30.8%	35.9%

Luton Town - Brentford Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 12 - 31.6%). Brentford will win (votes: 14 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 21.5% – 52.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 16. Burke R. 15. Mengi T. 2. Osho G. 12. Kabore I. 28. Lokonga A. S. 6. Barkley R. 45. Doughty A. 18. Clark J. 14. Chong T. 9. Morris C. (C)	1. Flekken M. (G) 5. Pinnock E. 20. Ajer K. 22. Collins N. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 8. Jensen M. (C) 27. Janelt V. 24. Damsgaard M. 12. Reguilon S. 19. Mbeumo B. 11. Wissa Y.
Substitutes
8. Berry L. 27. Hashioka D. 38. Johnson J. 23. Krul T. (G) 17. Mpanzu P. 32. Onyedinma F. 1. Shea J. (G) 30. Townsend A. 10. Woodrow C.	14. Ghoddos S. 7. Maupay N. 6. Norgaard C. 15. Onyeka F. 30. Roerslev Rasmussen M. 9. Schade K. 21. Strakosha T. (G) 33. Yarmolyuk Y. 13. Zanka
Coaches
Edwards R.	Frank T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Wissa Y. ⚽, Mbeumo B. (A),
35', Kabore I. ↓, Onyedinma F. ↑,
38', Pinnock E. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Wissa Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Burke R. ↓, Berry L. ↑,
48', Damsgaard M. 🟨,
62', 0 - 3, Pinnock E. ⚽, Reguilon S. (A),
64', 0 - 4, Lewis-Potter K. ⚽, Mbeumo B. (A),
71', Chong T. ↓, Townsend A. ↑,
71', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Hashioka D. ↑,
71', Damsgaard M. ↓, Norgaard C. ↑,
71', Lewis-Potter K. ↓, Schade K. ↑,
77', Ajer K. ↓, Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↑,
81', Clark J. ↓, Mpanzu P. ↑,
82', Jensen M. ↓, Yarmolyuk Y. ↑,
82', Wissa Y. ↓, Maupay N. ↑,
86', 0 - 5, Schade K. ⚽, Janelt V. (A),
88', Doughty A. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 5, Berry L. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 1.

Luton is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brentford is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brentford will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Luton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English Premier League
13.04.24	Manchester City - Luton Town	5:1 ✺
06.04.24	Luton Town - Bournemouth	2:1 ✺
03.04.24	Arsenal - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Luton Town	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Luton Town - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLT
- Brentford FC
English Premier League
13.04.24	Brentford - Sheffield United	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Aston Villa - Brentford	3:3 ✺
03.04.24	Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Brentford - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Burnley - Brentford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
02.12.23	Brentford - Luton Town	3:1
English League Championship
20.01.21	Brentford - Luton Town	1:0
31.10.20	Luton Town - Brentford	0:3
25.02.20	Luton Town - Brentford	2:1
30.11.19	Brentford - Luton Town	7:0
Club Friendly
28.07.15	Luton Town - Brentford	2:1

Upcoming Matches