Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now
Argentina	16:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	23:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	06:30	Stan Sport
Austria	20:30	Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	01:30	Toffee Live
Bolivia	15:30	ESPN 2
Brazil	16:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:30	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, FuboTV
China	03:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	14:30	ESPN 2
Croatia	20:30	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	20:30	CANAL+ Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	14:30	ESPN 2
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	21:30	Viaplay
France	20:30	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 3
Germany	20:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 2, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	03:30	M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	19:30	SÝN Sport 3
India	01:00	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	02:30	Vidio
Japan	04:30	U-NEXT
Malaysia	03:30	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Sooka
Mexico	13:30	FOX One, Fox Sports
Nepal	01:15	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:30	SKY Go NZ
North Macedonia	20:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	00:30	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	16:30	ESPN 2
Peru	14:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	03:30	Setanta Sports
Poland	20:30	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	19:30	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	21:30	Voyo
Serbia	20:30	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	21:30	SuperSport Football
South Korea	04:30	Coupang Play
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Thailand	02:30	AIS PLAY
Turkey	22:30	beIN Connect
Ukraine	21:30	Pershiy, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	19:30	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	16:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock
Venezuela	15:30	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	02:30	FPT Play


	Everton		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5.75
	1.73	3.7	4.8
	1.62	3.85	5.9
	1.66	3.85	5.9
	1.62	3.99	5.78	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5.5
	1.69	3.86	6.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.7)	3.81 ↑ (3.45)	5.68 ↑ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
58%

Draw
25.2%

Burnley
16.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26.8%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

26.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	6.9%	15.3%

Everton - Burnley Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1.5 - Everton (2.74) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Everton will win (56 of 70 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.63% – 89.37%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Everton will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 23 - 85.2%). Burnley (votes: 2 - 7.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 32. Branthwaite J. 16. Mykolenko V. 27. Gueye I. 37. Garner J. 7. McNeil D. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 10. Ndiaye I. 9. Beto	1. Dubravka M. (G) 12. Humphreys B. 4. Worrall J. 5. Esteve M. 2. Walker K. (C) 16. Florentino 8. Ugochukwu L. 23. Lucas Pires 28. Mejbri H. 11. Anthony J. 9. Foster L.
Substitutes
45. Armstrong H. 11. Barry T. 20. Dibling T. 19. George T. 42. Iroegbunam T. 5. Keane M. 2. Patterson N. 34. Rohl M. 12. Travers M. (G)	35. Barnes A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 18. Ekdal H. 3. Hartman Q. 29. Laurent J. 52. McMahon-Brown K. 17. Tchaouna L. 20. Ward-Prowse J. 13. Weiss M. (G)
Coaches
Moyes D.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Tarkowski J. ⚽, Garner J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Worrall J. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
57', Florentino ↓, Ward-Prowse J. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Dewsbury-Hall K. ⚽, Ndiaye I. (A),
64', Humphreys B. 🟨,
72', Mejbri H. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
83', Beto ↓, Barry T. ↑,
83', Branthwaite J. ↓, Keane M. ↑,
83', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
87', McNeil D. ↓, George T. ↑,
87', Gueye I. ↓, Iroegbunam T. ↑,
90+3', Ndiaye I. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 3.

In recent matches, Everton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Burnley has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Everton is the team to beat.

There will not play in Everton: Alcaraz C. (Injury) Grealish J. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Broja A. (Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Edwards M. (Knock) Tuanzebe A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Everton won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:16. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Everton	8	2	4	2	8:9	-1	10

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Everton: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
28.02.26	Newcastle United - Everton	2:3 ✺
23.02.26	Everton - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
10.02.26	Everton - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Fulham - Everton	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WLLWT
- Burnley FC
English Premier League
28.02.26	Burnley - Brentford	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	Chelsea - Burnley	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Burnley - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Crystal Palace - Burnley	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Burnley - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
27.12.25	Burnley - Everton	0:0
06.04.24	Everton - Burnley	1:0
16.12.23	Burnley - Everton	0:2
English League Cup
01.11.23	Everton - Burnley	3:0
English Premier League
06.04.22	Burnley - Everton	3:2
13.09.21	Everton - Burnley	3:1
13.03.21	Everton - Burnley	1:2

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