Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Denmark	Discovery+, Eurosport 2, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Eurosport 2, Viaplay


	Luton Town		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	7	Watch
	1.47	4.4	6.75
	1.45	4.65	7.5	Watch
	1.45	4.4	6.6
	1.47	4.7	6.92
	1.42	4	7	Watch
	1.49	4.55	6.9	Watch
	1.42	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.45)	4.46 ↑ (4.42)	6.96 ↑ (6.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
65.2%

Draw
21.2%

Grimsby Town
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

21.2%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

20.3%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Luton Town - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Grimsby will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 3.

Luton is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Grimsby is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Luton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Luton is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Luton won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English League Championship
21.01.23	Wigan Athletic - Luton Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
17.01.23	Wigan Athletic - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
14.01.23	Luton Town - West Bromwich Albion	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Luton Town - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
English League Championship
01.01.23	Huddersfield Town - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLTW
- Grimsby Town
English League Two
14.01.23	Swindon Town - Grimsby Town	5:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Grimsby Town - Burton Albion	1:0 ✺
English League Two
01.01.23	Grimsby Town - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
29.12.22	Grimsby Town - Salford City	1:4 ✺
26.12.22	Harrogate Town - Grimsby Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
27.01.18	Grimsby Town - Luton Town	0:1
23.12.17	Luton Town - Grimsby Town	2:0
04.02.17	Grimsby Town - Luton Town	1:1
10.09.16	Luton Town - Grimsby Town	1:2
English National League
25.03.14	Grimsby Town - Luton Town	1:2
07.09.13	Luton Town - Grimsby Town	0:0
12.04.13	Luton Town - Grimsby Town	1:1

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