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Current Win Probability
Mérida AD 33.3%
Draw 27.7%
Atlético Madrid B 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
29.7%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
29%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mérida AD's form might have worsened.
Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid B's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mérida AD - Atlético Madrid B Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Vicente D. (G) 4. Bonaque M. 18. Falcon E. 28. del Cerro S. 15. Prevedini M. 24. Carvalho M. 6. Miki 16. Sanchez E. 14. Beltran L. 8. Eslava J. 21. Beneit R.
1. Iturbe A. (G) 4. Bonar J. 12. Spina G. 5. Kostis I. 22. Perez P. 17. Luque I. 6. Serrano J. 20. Belaid R. 14. Gonzalez J. 3. Diaz J. 27. Janneh O.
Substitutes
7. Alvaro J. 22. Athuman I. 23. Busi 17. Ganet P. 3. Jimenez N. 10. Juanjo 26. Macia I. (G) 20. Nabian H. 19. Pipe 27. Tiago Leal
7. Bri D. 40. Coulibaly I. (G) 18. Diallo Selu M. 24. Garces B. 21. Garcia A. 23. Gimenez C. 10. Gismera A. 16. Koke 26. Monserrate J. 9. Nino A. 2. Pascual M. 19. Raihani A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Spina G. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Belaid R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Beltran L. ⚽,
56', Perez P. ↓, Diallo Selu M. ↑,
61', 🟨,
63', 2 - 1, Beneit R. ⚽,
65', Falcon E. ↓, Alvaro J. ↑,
65', Beltran L. ↓, Juanjo ↑,
68', Gonzalez J. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
71', Eslava J. ↓, Nabian H. ↑,
71', Vicente D. ↓, Macia I. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Janneh O. ⚽,
90', 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 7).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Mérida AD won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Spain
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Vicente D. (G) 
Prevedini M. 
Kostis I. 
Athuman I. 
Ganet P. 
Nabian H. 
Diallo Selu M. 
Raihani A. 
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