Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Romano Jose Fouto (Mérida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Mérida AD		Zamora

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.22	3.1	3.1
	2.37	3.05	3.26
	2.3	3.12	3.18	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.1
	2.23	3.04	3.11
	2.25	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.2)	3.03 ↓ (3.3)	3.11 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
40.5%

Draw
30.1%

Zamora
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.1%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.3%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Mérida AD - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Csenterics A. (G) 19. Pipe (C) 5. Dominguez J. 3. Lancho J. 23. Verges E. 21. Beneit R. 8. Solar M. 18. Dibrani B. 12. Gomes R. 9. Hallsson S. 7. Chiqui	1. Sobron F. (G) 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 4. Athuman I. 20. Codina M. 3. Merchan D. 22. Sancho J. 10. Ramos C. (C) 16. Lozano M. 7. Kike 9. Losada M. 19. Abde
Substitutes
11. Areso J. 13. Cacharron P. (G) 16. Capitas M. 14. El Ftouhi S. 6. Geovanny 17. Herranz Corral V. 15. Martinez G. 4. Pareja L. 24. Pereira R. 22. Rivas M.	15. Buron L. 17. Carbonell J. 18. Farrell J. 6. Garcia M. 23. Lopez S. 8. Marcelo A. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 5. Ruiz E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Athuman I. 🟨,
34', Solar M. 🟨,
45+1', Ramos C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Abde ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
61', Hallsson S. ↓, El Ftouhi S. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Lancho J. ⚽,
69', Lancho J. 🟨,
71', Sancho J. ↓, Buron L. ↑,
71', Athuman I. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
73', Gomes R. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
73', Pipe ↓, Geovanny ↑,
73', Dibrani B. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, El Ftouhi S. ⚽,
78', Losada M. 🟨,
80', Beneit R. ↓, Herranz Corral V. ↑,
84', Merchan D. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
84', Losada M. ↓, Farrell J. ↑,
86', El Ftouhi S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mérida AD is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mérida AD won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10
14	AD Merida	6	2	0	4	9:11	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.01.26	Real Avilés - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Mérida AD - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Mérida AD - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Lugo - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTTWL
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.01.26	Zamora - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	Celta de Vigo B - Zamora	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	Zamora - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Zamora	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Zamora - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.09.25	Zamora - Mérida AD	3:0

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