Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 30

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg)

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	Willem II		Den Bosch

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.8	4.1
	1.66	4	4.1
	1.7	3.95	4.25	Watch
	1.71	4.25	4.4
	1.68	4.23	4.33	Watch
	1.67	3.9	4.2
	1.68	4.1	4.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)	4.03 ↓ (4.11)	4.24 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Willem II
55.3%

Draw
22.9%

Den Bosch
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

22.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

22.4%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Willem II - Den Bosch Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Willem II will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Didillon Hodl T. (G) 15. Et Taibi A. 30. Behounek R. 4. Hoogma J. (C) 24. Tjoe a On N. 7. Doodeman N. 8. Twigt C. 6. Besselink G. 11. Culum A. 19. van Aalst U. 9. Haen D.	36. van de Merbel P. (G) 22. Fortes J. 4. van Grunsven T. 3. Maas S. 5. de Groot N. 47. Barglan S. 6. Felida K. (C) 33. Laros M. 15. de Vries J. 9. Karlsson Grach S. 8. Monzialo K.
Substitutes
23. Abildgaard L. 47. Baartmans S. 17. Bamba S. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 20. El Allouchi M. 14. Mathijsen J. 46. Scheepens K. 21. van der Steen W. (G) 22. van Loon P. 28. Verheydt T.	1. Bakker M. (G) 31. Bijlsma T. (G) 40. Boumassaoudi I. 26. el Bakkali Z. 17. Semedo E. 7. Sille G. 42. Van Koeverden L. 10. van Leeuwen T. 16. Wang B.
Coaches
Stegeman J.	Landvreugd U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Twigt C. ⚽, Doodeman N. (A),
25', Et Taibi A. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
36', Twigt C. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Karlsson Grach S. ⚽, Monzialo K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', van Aalst U. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
61', Culum A. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
77', Karlsson Grach S. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
77', Barglan S. ↓, Wang B. ↑,
84', Wang B. 🟨,
85', van Grunsven T. 🟨,
89', Fortes J. ↓, Van Koeverden L. ↑,
89', de Vries J. ↓, van Leeuwen T. ↑,
90+2', Monzialo K. 🟨,
90+3', Monzialo K. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3.

Willem II is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Den Bosch has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Willem II is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Schuurman J. (Knock)

There are questionable in Willem II: Ciranni A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Den Bosch: 0.59%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Den Bosch	10	3	2	5	14:18	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Den Bosch - the odds 4.04 are the expected chance of winning is 23.16%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.02.26	Emmen - Willem II	0:3 ✺
24.02.26	Willem II - ADO Den Haag	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Willem II - Vitesse	3:0 ✺
16.02.26	Jong Utrecht - Willem II	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Willem II - Waalwijk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWTW
- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.02.26	Den Bosch - Roda	2:2 ✺
23.02.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch	2:2 ✺
12.02.26	Den Bosch - FC Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Helmond Sport - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Den Bosch - Emmen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.11.25	Den Bosch - Willem II	2:1
15.03.24	Den Bosch - Willem II	1:4
15.10.23	Willem II - Den Bosch	3:1
02.04.23	Den Bosch - Willem II	0:2
07.10.22	Willem II - Den Bosch	1:2
02.02.14	Den Bosch - Willem II	0:1
04.08.13	Willem II - Den Bosch	2:2

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