Match Info

Date: 11 February 2020, Tuesday


	Salford City		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.2	3.2
	2.35	3.2	3
	2.3	3.25	3.2
	2.23	3.24	2.99
	2.37	3.32	3.16
	2.35	3.25	3.1
	2.43	3.32	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.5)	3.25 ↓ (3.41)	3.13 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
40.5%

Draw
29.2%

Plymouth Argyle
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

20.2%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salford City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plymouth Argyle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Salford City - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
08.02.20	Salford City - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
01.02.20	Port Vale - Salford City	1:1 ✺
28.01.20	Cambridge United - Salford City	0:4 ✺
25.01.20	Salford City - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
21.01.20	Salford City - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTWTW
- Plymouth Argyle
English League Two
08.02.20	Colchester United - Plymouth Argyle	3:0 ✺
01.02.20	Plymouth Argyle - Newport County	1:0 ✺
28.01.20	Plymouth Argyle - Crawley Town	2:2 ✺
25.01.20	Stevenage Borough - Plymouth Argyle	1:2 ✺
18.01.20	Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
20.08.19	Plymouth Argyle - Salford City	2:2

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