Match Info

AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, Q Football Asia, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Machida Zelvia		Gangwon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.5	5
	1.72	3.3	5.15
	1.78	3.35	5.54
	1.66	3.42	5.9	Watch
	1.75	3.1	5
	1.79	3.33	5.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.69)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)	5.3 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
54.1%

Draw
28.2%

Gangwon
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

27.1%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

26%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for Gangwon have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	15.8%	21.1%

Machida Zelvia - Gangwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Gangwon will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gangwon (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Machida Zelvia (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 4 - 80%). Gangwon (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 3. Shoji G. (C) 19. Nakayama Y. 6. Mochizuki H. 88. Nakamura H. 23. Shirasaki R. 31. Lavi N. 26. Hayashi K. 8. Sento K. 7. Soma Y. 99. Yengi T.	21. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 34. Song Jun-Seok 23. Tuci M. 24. Park H. 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk (C) 42. Mo Jae-Hyeon 4. Seo Min-Woo 28. Lee Seung-Won 99. Kang Joon-Hyuck 19. Park Sang-Hyeok 11. Goh Young-Jun
Substitutes
44. Arai Y. (G) 5. Dresevic I. 27. Erik 9. Fujio S. 49. Kuwayama K. 16. Mae H. 11. Masuyama A. 13. Morita T. (G) 10. Na Sang-Ho 20. Nishimura T. 50. Okamura D. 34. Tokumura F.	96. Choe Byeong-Chan 80. Hleihel A. 20. Jo Hyun-Tae 8. Kang Y. 7. Kim Dae-Won 27. Kim Do-Hyun 91. Kim Jung-Hoon (G) 50. Lee E. 25. Lee H. 39. Lee Ji-Ho 97. Lee You-Hyeon 47. Shin Min-Ha
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Chung Kyung-Ho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Soma Y. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
25', 1 - 0, Nakamura H. ⚽, Na Sang-Ho (A),
34', Tuci M. ↓, Lee You-Hyeon ↑,
34', Lee Seung-Won ↓, Kim Dae-Won ↑,
37', Lavi N. 🟨,
45+1', Lee You-Hyeon 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Park Sang-Hyeok ↓, Hleihel A. ↑,
59', Sento K. ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
59', Mochizuki H. ↓, Okamura D. ↑,
61', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Kang Y. ↑,
72', Kang Joon-Hyuck ↓, Kim Do-Hyun ↑,
79', Shirasaki R. 🟨,
90+1', Lavi N. ↓, Mae H. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0. Second leg.

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Machida Zelvia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gangwon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Machida Zelvia is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
AFC Champions League
03.03.26	Gangwon - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
27.02.26	Machida Zelvia - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia	3:2 penalties ✺
AFC Champions League
17.02.26	Machida Zelvia - Chengdu Rongcheng	3:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
14.02.26	Machida Zelvia - Mito HollyHock	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWLWW
- Gangwon FC
AFC Champions League
03.03.26	Gangwon - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
28.02.26	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.02.26	Melbourne City - Gangwon	0:0 ✺
11.02.26	Gangwon - Shanghai Port	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.01.26	Partizan - Gangwon	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLTT?

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
03.03.26	Gangwon - Machida Zelvia	0:0
25.11.25	Gangwon - Machida Zelvia	1:3

Machida Zelvia - Gangwon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide