The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tochigi 19.1%
Draw 31.5%
Machida Zelvia 49.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.3%
30%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
30.8%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tochigi's form might have worsened.
Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Machida Zelvia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+15%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tochigi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
24%
12%
64%
Tochigi - Machida Zelvia Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 6 - 24%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 16 - 64%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%). Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 45.2% โ 82.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Fujita K. (G) 23. Fukushima H. 16. Hiramatsu W. 5. Otani N. 30. Fukumori K. 7. Nishiya Y. 4. Sato S. 21. Yoshida T. 29. Yano K. 36. Yamada Y. 32. Miyazaki K.
23. Popp W. (G) 2. Okuyama M. 14. Jang M. 34. Fujiwara Y. 22. Onaga H. 41. Yasui T. 8. Takae L. 18. Shimoda H. 7. Araki S. 25. Fujio S. 11. Erik
Substitutes
1. Kawata S. (G) 38. Kobori S. 10. Mori T. 37. Nemoto R. 19. Oshima K. 8. Takahagi Y. 40. Takashima S.
15. Duke M. 42. Fukui K. (G) 26. Gutierrez C. 27. Hirakawa Y. 19. Inaba S. 33. Matsui R. 9. Numata T.
Coaches
Tokisaki Y.
Kuroda G.
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 3.
Recent matches Tochigi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Machida Zelvia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recently Tochigi have a series of guest games.
In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Tochigi won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.
Watch
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Fujita K. (G) 
Jang M. 
Erik 
Duke M. 
Gutierrez C. 
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