Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday

Location: Avnet-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Exner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 7
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Montenegro	Sportklub 7
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 7
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Serbia	SportKlub 7
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Magdeburg		Köln

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.95
				Watch
	2.31	3.7	3.08
				Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.9
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.83)	3.6 ↑ (3.55)	2.98 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
41.8%

Draw
26.3%

Köln
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26.3%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

27.4%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magdeburg's performance.

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Köln might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Magdeburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Köln could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	18.2%	45.5%

Magdeburg - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Köln will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 24.7% – 66.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reimann D. (C) 24. Hugonet J. 16. Mathisen M. 15. Heber D. 11. El Hankouri M. 25. Gnaka S. 17. Nollenberger A. 9. Kaars M. 29. Burcu L. 12. Holmstrom A. 23. Atik B.	1. Schwabe M. (G) 2. Schmied J. 4. Hubers T. (C) 3. Heintz D. 29. Thielmann J. 47. Olesen M. 17. Paqarada L. 7. Ljubicic D. 11. Kainz F. 42. Downs D. 37. Maina L.
Substitutes
14. El-Zein A. 27. Hercher P. 13. Krempicki C. 30. Kruth N. (G) 2. Loric S. 21. Michel F. 5. Muller T. 3. Pfeiffer P. 8. Teixeira B.	35. Finkgrafe M. 25. Gazibegovic J. 8. Huseinbasic D. 16. Obuz M. 26. Racioppi A. (G) 27. Rondic I. 36. Sponsel M. 21. Tigges S. 9. Waldschmidt L.
Coaches
Titz C.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Paqarada L. ↓, Finkgrafe M. ↑,
41', Thielmann J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', Holmstrom A. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
67', Thielmann J. ↓, Gazibegovic J. ↑,
67', Kainz F. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
72', Finkgrafe M. 🟨,
73', 1 - 0, Heber D. ⚽, Atik B. (A),
77', Schmied J. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
78', Nollenberger A. ↓, Loric S. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, El Hankouri M. ⚽,
89', El Hankouri M. ↓, Teixeira B. ↑,
89', Burcu L. ↓, El-Zein A. ↑,
89', Atik B. ↓, Michel F. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Loric S. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Magdeburg is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Köln is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Magdeburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Magdeburg will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Magdeburg: Bockhorn H. (Knee Injury) Kuhinja E. (Knee Injury) Musonda L. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Lemperle T. (Muscle Injury) Martel E. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Magdeburg: El Hankouri M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Pauli J. (Concussion)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Magdeburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
08.02.25	Magdeburg - Nürnberg	3:4 ✺
01.02.25	Schalke 04 - Magdeburg	2:5 ✺
24.01.25	Magdeburg - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Elversberg - Magdeburg	2:5 ✺
20.12.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWTWW
- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
09.02.25	Köln - Schalke 04	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
05.02.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	3:2 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
01.02.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Köln	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Köln - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Hamburger SV - Köln	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
14.09.24	Köln - Magdeburg	1:2
19.05.19	Magdeburg - Köln	1:1
17.12.18	Köln - Magdeburg	3:0

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