Match Info

Date: 8 March 2020, Sunday


	Mainz		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	1.85	4	3.8	Watch
	1.85	3.9	3.9
	1.89	3.75	3.9	Watch
	1.91	3.74	3.7
	1.97	3.81	3.84
	1.88	3.8	3.9	Watch
	1.96	3.88	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.86)	3.84 ↓ (3.91)	3.85 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mainz
50.3%

Draw
24.9%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

24.4%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

19.4%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mainz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortuna Düsseldorf, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	19.4%	8.3%

Mainz - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 72 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 52 - 72.2%). Fortuna will win (votes: 6 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 61.9% – 82.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz 05
German Bundesliga
29.02.20	Mainz - Paderborn	2:0 ✺
23.02.20	Wolfsburg - Mainz	4:0 ✺
16.02.20	Mainz - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
08.02.20	Hertha Berlin - Mainz	1:3 ✺
01.02.20	Mainz - Bayern Munich	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTWL
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German DFB Pokal
03.03.20	Saarbrücken - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga
28.02.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hertha Berlin	3:3 ✺
22.02.20	Freiburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:2 ✺
15.02.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:4 ✺
08.02.20	Wolfsburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
19.10.19	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Mainz	1:0
20.04.19	Mainz - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:1
30.11.18	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Mainz	0:1
03.03.13	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Mainz	1:1
Club Friendly
05.01.13	Mainz - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:0
German Bundesliga
06.10.12	Mainz - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0

Upcoming Matches