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Current Win Probability
Mainz 54.8%
Draw 23.9%
Hertha Berlin 21.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.2%
23.1%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.8%
22.9%
17.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.3%
17.4%
28.3%
Mainz - Hertha Berlin Predictions
Users Predictions:
92 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 50 - 54.3%). Hertha will win (votes: 26 - 28.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 17.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 44.1% – 64.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Mainz has the most likely position - 9 (8.36%), has project points - 46, has currently - 10, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (13%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Hertha has the most likely position - 16 (12.81%), has project points - 36, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality64, small importance30, match rating47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mainz won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
In this match Mainz is a favorite.
There will not play in Mainz: Hack A.
(Red Card)
Ingvartsen M.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Hertha: Gechter L.
(Injury)
Lee Dong-Jun
(Knee Injury)
Ngankam J.
(Knee Injury)
Nsona K.
(Knee Injury)
Scherhant D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Mainz: Burkardt J.
(Leg Injury)
Stach A.
(Hip Injury)
Last 19 head-to-head matches Mainz won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Mainz won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.
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