Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Mainz		Kaiserslautern

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.20	3.80
	1.73	3.90	3.50
	1.78	4.06	3.36
	1.82	4.19	3.56	Watch
	1.75	3.9	3.3
	1.58	4.55	4.68	Watch
	1.4	5.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.4)	4.27 ↓ (5.1)	3.94 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz
55.2%

Draw
21.5%

Kaiserslautern
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

17.9%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mainz's form might have worsened.

Kaiserslautern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaiserslautern's recent form is better than expected.

Mainz - Kaiserslautern Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Zentner R. (G) 23. Becker S. 19. Caci A. 21. da Costa D. 25. Hanche-Olsen A. 31. Kohr D. (C) 15. Maloney L. 5. Martel E. 47. Nakuzola R. 8. Nebel P. 9. Tietz P.	1. Krahl J. (G) 35. Elvedi J. 39. Fidjeu-Tazemeta T. 43. Gibs O. 4. Gyamfi M. 22. Haas M. 26. Joly P. 7. Ritter M. 37. Robinson L. 8. Sahin S. 41. Schramm D.
Substitutes
16. Bell S. 14. Boving W. 38. Debrah J. 42. Gauer L. (G) 4. Gruber F. . Haidara A. . Hong Hyun-Seok 34. Imafidon D. . Kawasaki S. . Kinzig M. (G) 11. Konigsdorffer R. 48. Potulski K. . Richter M. . Yamasaki T.	2. Asta S. 20. Berisha M. 5. Frees K. 47. Jungfleisch B. 40. Kamga E. (G) 99. Kanate I. 6. Kunze F. 42. Muller E. 34. Onohiol Y. (G) 14. Rasmussen J. 9. Scheer K. 15. Skytta N. 13. Wekesser E.

Key Events of the Match

(4 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Tietz P. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Becker S. ⚽,
28', 3 - 0, Nebel P. (Penalty Awarded),
87', 3 - 1, Berisha M. ⚽,
98', 4 - 1, Richter M. ⚽,

Preview

Mainz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mainz is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz 05
German Bundesliga
16.05.26	Heidenheim - Mainz	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Mainz - Union Berlin	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	St. Pauli - Mainz	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Mainz - Bayern Munich	3:4 ✺
19.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Mainz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLT
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Sandhausen - Kaiserslautern	3:5 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
17.05.26	Magdeburg - Kaiserslautern	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Kaiserslautern - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Dynamo Dresden - Kaiserslautern	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Kaiserslautern - Eintracht Braunschweig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.10.21	Mainz - Kaiserslautern	1:1
German DFB Pokal
10.08.19	Kaiserslautern - Mainz	2:0
Club Friendly
19.07.14	Kaiserslautern - Mainz	1:2
German Bundesliga
25.02.12	Mainz - Kaiserslautern	4:0

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