Match Info

Date: 25 March 2021, Thursday


	Mainz		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4
	1.7	3.75	3.9
	1.73	3.85	3.8
	1.69	3.7	3.75
	1.72	3.98	3.9
	1.7	3.5	4
	1.78	3.96	4.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.72)	3.79 ↑ (3.75)	3.92 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz
53%

Draw
23.9%

Nürnberg
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mainz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Mainz - Nürnberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Mainz is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nürnberg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Mainz is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mainz won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Mainz won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz 05
German Bundesliga
21.03.21	Hoffenheim - Mainz	1:2 ✺
13.03.21	Mainz - Freiburg	1:0 ✺
05.03.21	Schalke 04 - Mainz	0:0 ✺
28.02.21	Mainz - Augsburg	0:1 ✺
20.02.21	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Mainz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWTLW
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
21.03.21	Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg	2:2 ✺
14.03.21	Nürnberg - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg	3:1 ✺
28.02.21	Nürnberg - Eintracht Braunschweig	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	Karlsruher - Nürnberg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
26.01.19	Mainz - Nürnberg	2:1
01.09.18	Nürnberg - Mainz	1:1
26.04.14	Mainz - Nürnberg	2:0
06.12.13	Nürnberg - Mainz	1:1
07.04.13	Nürnberg - Mainz	2:1
09.11.12	Mainz - Nürnberg	2:1
10.03.12	Mainz - Nürnberg	2:1

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