Match Info

LaLiga - Round 29

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
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Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Elche		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.7	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.5
	2.12	3.45	3.45	Watch
	2.11	3.46	3.78
	2.1	3.39	3.61	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.5
	2.15	3.47	3.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 (2.1)	3.39 ↑ (3.37)	3.59 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
45.4%

Draw
28.1%

Mallorca
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

25.7%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Mallorca have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.2%	31%	13.8%

Elche - Mallorca Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Mallorca will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Mallorca (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dituro M. (G) 23. Chust V. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. (C) 15. Tete Morente 19. Diangana G. 8. Aguado M. 14. Febas A. 11. Valera G. 10. Mir R. 20. Rodriguez A.	1. Roman L. (G) 6. Sanchez A. 21. Raillo A. (C) 24. Valjent M. 3. Lato T. 12. Samu Costa 5. Mascarell O. 15. Luvumbo Z. 20. Torre P. 18. Joseph M. 7. Muriqi V.
Substitutes
42. Buba Sangare 24. Cepeda L. 33. Felipe P. 45. Iturbe A. (G) 17. Josan 16. Neto M. 3. Pedrosa A. 13. Pena I. (G) 21. Petrot L. 5. Redondo Solari F. 7. Santiago Y. 12. Villar G.	10. Darder S. 39. Garcia J. 30. Kalumba J. 19. Llabres J. 27. Lopez D. 23. Maffeo P. 2. Morey Bauza M. 8. Morlanes M. 34. Olaizola J. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A. 42. Vlad R. (G)
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Demichelis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Chust V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, Torre P. ⚽, Luvumbo Z. (A),
62', 1 - 1, Mir R. ⚽,
65', Diangana G. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
65', Luvumbo Z. ↓, Morlanes M. ↑,
65', Torre P. ↓, Darder S. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Tete Morente ⚽, Valera G. (A),
79', Aguado M. ↓, Redondo Solari F. ↑,
80', Mir R. ↓, Buba Sangare ↑,
82', Lato T. 🟨,
89', Sanchez A. ↓, Kalumba J. ↑,
90+2', Muriqi V. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Raillo A. 🟨,
90+4', Maffeo P. 🟨,
90+5', Rodriguez A. ↓, Petrot L. ↑,
90+5', Valera G. ↓, Pedrosa A. ↑,
90+7', Petrot L. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Elche might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Elche: Donald J. (Injury) Fort H. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Mallorca: Asano T. (Muscle Injury) Bergstrom L. (Injury) Kumbulla M. (Muscle Injury) Mojica J. (Yellow Cards) Salas J. (Knee Injury) Virgili J. (Red Card)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Elche won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Elche: 0.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11:17	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Elche - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 45.25%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
14.03.26	Real Madrid - Elche	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Villarreal - Elche	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Elche - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
20.02.26	Athletic Bilbao - Elche	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Elche - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLT
- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
15.03.26	Mallorca - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Osasuna - Mallorca	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Mallorca - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Celta de Vigo - Mallorca	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Mallorca - Betis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
13.12.25	Mallorca - Elche	3:1
04.03.23	Mallorca - Elche	0:1
10.10.22	Elche - Mallorca	1:1
16.04.22	Elche - Mallorca	3:0
07.11.21	Mallorca - Elche	2:2
Spanish LaLiga2
03.03.19	Mallorca - Elche	1:1
16.09.18	Elche - Mallorca	1:1

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