Match Info

LaLiga - Round 33

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Iraq	Almanasa
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 4
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Real Oviedo		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.25
	3.55	3.35	2.12
	3.68	3.45	2.18
	3.56	3.39	2.12	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.15
	3.7	3.43	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↓ (3.86)	3.36 ↓ (3.63)	2.18 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
27.9%

Draw
28.4%

Villarreal
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

26.2%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

26%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.2%	13.1%	78.7%

Real Oviedo - Villarreal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Villarreal (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Oviedo (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (47 of 57 users predict this - 82.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.59% – 92.33%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 2 - 50%). Villarreal (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 2. Bailly E. 12. Calvo D. (C) 25. Lopez J. 7. Chaira I. 6. Sibo K. 11. Colombatto S. 15. Fernandez T. 5. Reina A. 9. Vinas F.	25. Tenas A. (G) 15. Mourino S. 6. Navarro P. 12. Veiga R. 23. Cardona S. 17. Buchanan T. 10. Parejo D. (C) 18. Gueye P. 11. Gonzalez A. 19. Pepe N. 21. Oluwaseyi T.
Substitutes
27. Agudin P. 24. Ahijado L. 3. Alhassane R. 17. Borbas T. 16. Carmo D. 8. Cazorla S. 4. Costas D. 14. Ejaria O. 10. Hassan H. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 26. Narvaez M. (G)	38. Diatta A. 3. Freeman A. 5. Kambwala W. 1. Luiz Junior (G) 4. Marin R. 9. Mikautadze G. 20. Moleiro A. 7. Moreno G. 16. Partey T. 24. Pedraza A. 22. Perez A.
Coaches
Almada G.	Marcelino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Pepe N. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Escandell A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Buchanan T. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
62', Gonzalez A. ↓, Moleiro A. ↑,
62', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Chaira I. ⚽,
71', Fernandez T. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
72', Sibo K. ↓, Ejaria O. ↑,
72', Reina A. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
78', Parejo D. ↓, Partey T. ↑,
78', Mourino S. ↓, Freeman A. ↑,
90+1', Lopez J. ↓, Alhassane R. ↑,
90+1', Chaira I. ↓, Agudin P. ↑,
90+7', Moleiro A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Villarreal will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oviedo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Villarreal: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13:12	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
12.04.26	Celta de Vigo - Real Oviedo	0:3 ✺
05.04.26	Real Oviedo - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Levante - Real Oviedo	4:2 ✺
14.03.26	Real Oviedo - Valencia	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Espanyol - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWLWT
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
12.04.26	Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Girona - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Villarreal - Real Sociedad	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Villarreal - Elche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
15.08.25	Villarreal - Real Oviedo	2:0

Upcoming Matches